Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz: match statistics
CA La Paz presents a clear advantage over Correcaminos UAT in key statistics. The hosts have a disastrous home record with 71% losses and just 14% wins, conceding an average of 2.43 goals per match at home. CA La Paz possesses significantly better efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 10% for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (54% vs 44%). The visitors score an average of 1.86 goals away, which, given the hosts' poor defense (38 conceded goals this season), gives them a real chance for all three points. Form over the last five matches is comparable, yet the decidedly better seasonal record and offensive parameters favor a victory for CA La Paz, although a draw remains in play due to the visitors' tendency to share points (43% away draws).
Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Correcaminos UAT played CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Correcaminos UAT: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CA La Paz: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.07 and concedes 2.53 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 1.80 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 67%, CA La Paz 73%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 60%, CA La Paz 73%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.16. Correcaminos UAT: 9.3 shots per match, CA La Paz: 14.2.
Match halves
Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.87. CA La Paz: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (8 goals). CA La Paz: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz presents a clear advantage over Correcaminos UAT in key statistics. The hosts have a disastrous home record with 71% losses and just 14% wins, conceding an average of 2.43 goals per match at home. CA La Paz possesses significantly better efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 10% for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (54% vs 44%). The visitors score an average of 1.86 goals away, which, given the hosts' poor defense (38 conceded goals this season), gives them a real chance for all three points. Form over the last five matches is comparable, yet the decidedly better seasonal record and offensive parameters favor a victory for CA La Paz, although a draw remains in play due to the visitors' tendency to share points (43% away draws).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1 pts / match - CA La Paz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.8 goals / match - CA La Paz
CA La Paz is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.53 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 2.13 goals / match - CA La Paz
Correcaminos UAT scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
CA La Paz scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - CA La Paz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 467% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.27 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.53 pts / match - CA La Paz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Correcaminos UAT
CA La Paz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Correcaminos UAT 0 - 1 - 0 CA La Paz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 0:3 CA La Paz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.07 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 1.80. The Ascenso MX average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 73% of CA La Paz's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and CA La Paz in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CA La Paz 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.