Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: match statistics
Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Correcaminos UAT played Cruz Azul Hidalgo in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. Gómez. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Correcaminos UAT: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cruz Azul Hidalgo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.90 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Cruz Azul Hidalgo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 80%, Cruz Azul Hidalgo 50%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 80%, Cruz Azul Hidalgo 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Correcaminos UAT has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.45. Correcaminos UAT: 13.3 shots per match, Cruz Azul Hidalgo: 12.1.
Match halves
Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10. Cruz Azul Hidalgo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Correcaminos UAT: 16-30 (6 goals). Cruz Azul Hidalgo: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Correcaminos UAT are the favourites: they average 1.6 goals per match at home, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo score just 0.2 goals per away game and have failed to win any of their last five matches on the road. The hosts create more chances, recording a home xG of 1.71 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.39, and their shot conversion rate is 11% versus their opponents’ 2%. The defensive numbers also favour the hosts: they concede an average of 1.2 goals at home, while the visitors allow as many as 2.4 away from home. Recent form does temper confidence in the prediction, however: Correcaminos have scored 5 goals and conceded 9 in their last five matches, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo have scored 8 and conceded 11. Home advantage and a clear edge in finishing make a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s away scoring record: they average just 0.2 goals on the road and have failed to score in 80% of their away matches. By comparison, Correcaminos UAT average 2.0 goals at home, while their opponents concede 2.4 goals on average away from home, making a home goal more likely than an away goal. However, the picture is not entirely clear-cut: Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s away xG is 1.39, and Correcaminos concede an average of 1.2 goals at home. In addition, the visitors have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, although these figures cover all matches, not just away games. Despite these signs pointing to an away goal, their away scoring record to date carries greater weight in assessing the market, so I expect at least one team to fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of the visitors’ matches. Correcaminos average 2.0 goals at home, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo concede 2.4 per away match, giving the hosts a clear chance to score twice. The visitors have managed just 0.2 goals per away match, although their average xG is 1.39, so I wouldn’t rule out a goal from them either. I expect 2.70 goals in total, but the 2.5 line is less certain: it has been cleared in 60% of the hosts’ matches and 40% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Correcaminos UAT led at the break in 40% of their home matches, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo were trailing at half-time in 60% of their away matches and failed to score in the first half in any of them. The hosts’ likelihood of holding on to their lead is supported by the scoring disparity: at home, they average 2.0 goals per match, whereas the visitors score 0.2 and concede 2.4 away from home. After the break, the visitors concede an average of 1.4 goals, while the hosts score 1.0, making 1/1 the HT/FT outcome best supported by the venue-specific data. However, recent form tempers confidence: Correcaminos were level at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches, so X/1 remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Correcaminos UAT is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 0.8 pts / match - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Correcaminos UAT is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.1 goals / match - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Correcaminos UAT scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Cruz Azul Hidalgo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Cruz Azul Hidalgo scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Correcaminos UAT is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1 pts / match - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Correcaminos UAT
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.70 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Correcaminos UATSubstitutionOn: Joaquín De Jesús Estopier SarmientoOff: Walter Oswaldo Ortega Valero
- Cruz Azul HidalgoYellow cardJeyson Duran
- Cruz Azul HidalgoYellow cardJeyson Duran
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 0:0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.90 goals per game on average and Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1.10. The Ascenso MX average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 50% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Cruz Azul Hidalgo in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.