Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato: match statistics
Irapuato appears to be the favorite in this clash despite playing away. Correcaminos UAT presents very poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a disastrous -11 goal difference as hosts. The team loses a staggering 55% of matches in front of their home crowd, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per game. Conversely, Irapuato boasts a more solid overall record (10 wins this season) and better form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game compared to the hosts' 1.6). The visitors have much better ball possession control (52% vs 44%) and an impressive 36% clean sheets on the road. Considering Correcaminos' defensive frailties and Irapuato's superior quality and form, the visitors have a realistic chance of securing all three points, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the visitors' high rate of unresolved matches.
Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Correcaminos UAT played Irapuato in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Correcaminos UAT: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Irapuato: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.05 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Irapuato scores 1.64 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 64%, Irapuato 54%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 59%, Irapuato 61%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Irapuato has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.10. Correcaminos UAT: 8.4 shots per match, Irapuato: 12.3.
Match halves
Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.73. Irapuato: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (9 goals). Irapuato: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Irapuato appears to be the favorite in this clash despite playing away. Correcaminos UAT presents very poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a disastrous -11 goal difference as hosts. The team loses a staggering 55% of matches in front of their home crowd, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per game. Conversely, Irapuato boasts a more solid overall record (10 wins this season) and better form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game compared to the hosts' 1.6). The visitors have much better ball possession control (52% vs 44%) and an impressive 36% clean sheets on the road. Considering Correcaminos' defensive frailties and Irapuato's superior quality and form, the visitors have a realistic chance of securing all three points, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the visitors' high rate of unresolved matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Irapuato is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.8 pts / match - Irapuato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.64 goals / match - Irapuato
Irapuato is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.43 goals / match - Irapuato
Correcaminos UAT scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Irapuato scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - Irapuato
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Irapuato is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.14 pts / match - Irapuato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Correcaminos UAT
Irapuato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Correcaminos UAT 0 - 0 - 1 Irapuato. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 2:1 Irapuato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.05 goals per game on average and Irapuato 1.64. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 54% of Irapuato's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Irapuato in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Irapuato 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato?
The statistical background for Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.