Çorum Belediyespor vs Bandırmaspor: match statistics
Çorum Belediyespor vs Bandırmaspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Çorum Belediyespor played Bandırmaspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Çorum Belediyespor: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Bandırmaspor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Çorum Belediyespor scores 1.66 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Bandırmaspor scores 1.31 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Çorum Belediyespor 56%, Bandırmaspor 44%. Over 2.5: Çorum Belediyespor 53%, Bandırmaspor 41%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Çorum Belediyespor has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.22. Çorum Belediyespor: 13.4 shots per match, Bandırmaspor: 10.9.
Match halves
Çorum Belediyespor: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.91. Bandırmaspor: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Çorum Belediyespor: 76-90+ (16 goals). Bandırmaspor: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Çorum Belediyespor are clear favorites: in the last 5 matches the hosts have won all 5 and average 3.0 points per match, while Bandırmaspor in their last 5 have 2 wins and 3 draws and average 1.8 points. At home Çorum score 1.93 goals and concede only 0.67 per match, enjoy 59% possession, register 5.0 shots on target per game and keep a clean sheet in 47% of home matches, whereas Bandırmaspor on the road average 1.13 goals, concede 1.25 and have only 19% clean sheets. Chance quality also favors the hosts: average xG for Çorum at home is 1.66 versus 1.10 xG for the visitors away, and average xG against is 0.87 for the hosts versus 1.53 for Bandırmaspor, indicating higher value of created chances and greater defensive vulnerability from the visitors. Additionally the hosts attempt significantly more shots (14.27 vs 9.69), have more shots on target (5.0 vs 3.38) and better conversion (14% vs 12%), while the visitors fail to score more often (31% vs 13%). Considering a 73% home win rate and a +19 goal difference at home compared to -2 on the road for the visitors, I predict a home win and estimate the probabilities at approximately 70% Çorum win, 20% draw and 10% Bandırmaspor win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No due to the home side's dominant defense. Çorum concedes only 0.81 goals per home game this season, keeps a clean sheet in 56% of matches and scores 1.5 goals seasonally, while Bandırmaspor scores 1.13 goals seasonally and fails to score in 31% of fixtures. In the last 5 matches Çorum averages 2.0 goals and 0.6 conceded (10:3), and Bandırmaspor 0.8 goals and 0.4 conceded (4:2), indicating superior attacking form from the hosts and limited effectiveness from the visitors. xG stats confirm Çorum's edge (xG 1.35 vs 1.10 for the visitors) and show the visitors concede more xG (1.53 vs 1.13), so despite divergent season BTTS rates (Çorum 31% vs Bandırmaspor 56%) the overall balance of evidence favors 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of approximately 2.47 goals (Çorum ~1.42, Bandırmaspor ~1.05) based on xG and seasonal averages. A Poisson model with λ=2.47 yields roughly a 71% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 45% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5), so Over 1.5 is the strongest signal. Additionally, the seasonal share of matches over 1.5 is 69% for Çorum and 81% for Bandırmaspor (average 75%), and Çorum has averaged 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches (10 goals in 5 fixtures). Home offensive xG is 1.35 versus xG against Bandırmaspor of 1.53 (average 1.44), while the visitors’ recent attacking xG was 0.9, giving the hosts a scoring edge. Therefore I recommend staking Over 1.5 as the most probable and strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data analysis indicates the most probable scenario is Çorum leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time (1/1). The hosts have won 100% of their last 5 matches (5/5) and led at the break in 60% of those games, with Çorum’s season points average at 1.94 versus 1.06 for Bandırmaspor. Çorum scores on average 1.5 goals and concedes 0.81 per match, while the visitors average 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded; additionally the hosts’ xG is 1.35 versus 1.1 for the visitors, and Bandırmaspor’s xG against is 1.53, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the away side. In the first 15 minutes Çorum have scored 5 goals compared to the visitors’ 1, and they hold a seasonal 56% clean sheet rate versus 19% for the away team, so high attacking efficiency and a solid defence favor maintaining the lead. For these reasons the HT/FT pick 1/1 has the highest probability, with alternatives such as half-time draw and eventual home win (X/1 18%) or draw/draw (X/X 18%) considered due to frequent drawn halves (44% for hosts, 50% for visitors).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Çorum Belediyespor | Bandırmaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Çorum Belediyespor is 67% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Çorum Belediyespor · 1.8 pts / match - Bandırmaspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Çorum Belediyespor is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - Çorum Belediyespor · 1.31 goals / match - Bandırmaspor
Çorum Belediyespor scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Bandırmaspor keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Bandırmaspor scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Çorum Belediyespor keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Çorum Belediyespor
Over / Under - Bandırmaspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Çorum Belediyespor is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Çorum Belediyespor · 1.41 pts / match - Bandırmaspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Çorum Belediyespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bandırmaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Çorum Belediyespor
Bandırmaspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Çorum Belediyespor | Liga | Bandırmaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Çorum Belediyespor 0 - 0 - 1 Bandırmaspor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Çorum Belediyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
The 1. Lig match finished Çorum Belediyespor 0:1 Bandırmaspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Çorum Belediyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
Çorum Belediyespor score 1.66 goals per game on average and Bandırmaspor 1.31. The 1. Lig average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Çorum Belediyespor's matches and 44% of Bandırmaspor's.
What form are Çorum Belediyespor and Bandırmaspor in?
Over the last 5 games Çorum Belediyespor have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Bandırmaspor 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Çorum Belediyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.