Çorum Belediyespor vs Eyüpspor: match statistics

Çorum Belediyespor’s home advantage is reflected primarily in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.83, while Eyüpspor produce just 0.47 xG away from home. The hosts average 16 shots per match and retain 75% possession, whereas their opponents record only 4 shots and 34% possession. Çorum’s defence allows opponents an xG of 0.56, clearly lower than Eyüpspor’s away xG against of 2.15. Neither team has scored in their respective home and away matches so far, making finishing a major question mark, but the hosts have significantly stronger statistical foundations for ending that drought. Eyüpspor have a slightly better record over their last five matches, collecting 7 points compared with 4 for Çorum, yet Çorum’s superiority in game control and chance creation points towards a narrow home win.

The strongest signal against BTTS comes from Eyüpspor’s away form: the team averages 0.0 goals, failed to score in 100% of such matches, and manages just 1.0 shot on target per game. Their average away xG is only 0.47, clearly below Çorum Belediyespor’s 1.28 at home, which limits the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts should have good conditions to score, as Eyüpspor allows an average xG of 2.15 away from home and concedes 1.0 goal on average. Although both teams recorded BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, and Çorum conceded an average of 2.0 goals, Eyüpspor’s current away inefficiency is the stronger argument in favour of BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.

The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: in the matches played so far by both teams, neither side has recorded a game with at least four goals. Eyüpspor have very limited attacking potential away from home, averaging just 0.47 xG, 1 shot on target, and no goals scored in these appearances. Çorum create more at home, with average xG of 1.28, while their opponents allow a high 2.15 xG, which primarily points to one or two goals for the hosts. The last five matches present a slightly higher-scoring picture, but games with Over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of Çorum's matches and 60% of Eyüpspor's, still providing no strong confirmation for the 3.5-goal line. The projected 2.55 goals indicate the most likely scenarios are 1:1, 2:0, or 2:1, so Under 3.5 has a clear advantage.

Eyüpspor have been in clearly better form over their last five matches: they average 1.8 goals and win 40% of their games, while Çorum score 1.2 goals, lose 60% of their matches and concede as many as 2.0 goals per game. The strongest signal concerns the first half, as the hosts have failed to score before the break in this sequence and went into half-time trailing in 50% of cases. The visitors led at the break in 40% of their last matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding just 0.4 during those periods, which supports the prospect of them taking the lead before half-time. The quality of chances created also favours the away side, particularly given the hosts’ defensive weakness: Çorum have allowed opponents an average xG of 2.0 across their last five appearances. The 2/2 scenario is therefore rated highest, although the risk of a draw at half-time followed by an Eyüpspor win after the break remains significant.