Çorum Belediyespor vs Kasımpaşa: match statistics

Çorum Belediyespor have shown slightly better form in their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Kasımpaşa have managed 6 points. The hosts scored 6 goals during this period and conceded just 4, giving them a clearly stronger defensive record than the visitors, who also scored 6 goals but allowed their opponents to find the net 6 times. Kasımpaşa have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, making a stalemate a highly realistic scenario. Both teams opened the current season with draws, although Çorum scored 2 goals compared to Kasımpaşa’s 1. With home advantage and a more positive defensive trend, the hosts have a slightly greater chance of securing the win.

BTTS - Yes has a moderate edge, as both teams scored in 80% of Kasımpaşa’s last 5 matches and in 40% of Çorum Belediyespor’s. Both teams averaged 1.2 goals per match during this period, indicating genuine scoring potential at both ends. The hosts created a high 1.90 xG per match, while the visitors allowed opponents 1.33 xG, making a Çorum Belediyespor goal likely. Kasımpaşa averaged 1.10 xG, while the hosts’ defense allowed opponents 1.67 xG, which offsets Çorum Belediyespor’s strong actual average of just 0.8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. BTTS has landed in 56% of league matches, so the scenario of both teams scoring has only a slight but sufficient edge.

In their last five matches, Çorum averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Kasımpaşa recorded averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. During this period, both teams had only 20% of their matches finish with at least three goals, which clearly supports the lower-scoring scenario. The combined xG suggests slightly greater potential, standing at 1.90 for the home side and 1.10 for the visitors, but this has not yet translated into frequent high-scoring results. The Under 3.5 goals line has the edge, as the projected total of 2.35 goals leaves a solid margin even for a 2:1 or 1:2 result.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Çorum Belediyespor win, as the hosts have won 40% of their last five matches and lost just 20%. The home side remained unbeaten at the break during this period: they led in 50% of matches and drew in the remaining 50%, conceding an average of zero goals before half-time. Kasımpaşa drew 60% of their last five matches and likewise most often shared the points at half-time, doing so in 60% of cases. After the break, the hosts scored an average of 1.0 goals, compared with just 0.4 for the visitors, strengthening the scenario of Çorum Belediyespor taking control in the second half. Furthermore, the hosts averaged 1.6 points per match in their last five outings, compared with Kasımpaşa’s 1.2, making a half-time draw followed by a home win the most logical HT/FT option: X/1.