Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi: match statistics
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corvinul Hunedoara played Sepsi in Liga I (Romania). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Corvinul Hunedoara: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Sepsi: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corvinul Hunedoara scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sepsi scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corvinul Hunedoara 0%, Sepsi 0%. Over 2.5: Corvinul Hunedoara 50%, Sepsi 0%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Corvinul Hunedoara has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.15. Corvinul Hunedoara: 15.0 shots per match, Sepsi: 9.0.
Match halves
Corvinul Hunedoara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. Sepsi: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Corvinul Hunedoara: 61-75 (2 goals). Sepsi: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga I: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Corvinul has a 100% home win rate (1/1), scoring an average of 3.0 goals per home match (3 goals this season) with an average xG of 2.3 and 7 shots on target per game, indicating high offensive efficiency at home. Sepsi have a 0% away win rate (0/1) and have not scored away yet (0.0 goals avg, xG 0.51), with only 1 shot on target and 33% possession, reflecting a very limited ability to create opportunities. Defensively Corvinul have kept 100% clean sheets at home, conceding 0.0 goals per game on average, while Sepsi concede 1.0 goals on average away and their average xG against is as high as 2.99, revealing the visitors’ defensive vulnerability despite a lower number of actual goals conceded. Both teams have similar points per game over the last 5 matches (1.4 each), but Corvinul’s dominance in possession (61% vs 33%), shot volume (22 vs 5) and xG (2.3 vs 0.51) gives them a clear edge and justifies a home-win selection.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 0% and only 20% in the last 5 matches, indicating a low frequency of both teams scoring. The home team averages 1.0 goals for and 0.0 goals against this season and has 100% clean sheets, while the away team has 0.0 goals for and 1.0 goals against this season and a shot conversion rate of 0.0, meaning they effectively do not convert chances. xG and shots metrics confirm the home advantage: 1.78 xG vs 0.51 xG for the visitors and 9.0 shots on target vs 1.0, which significantly reduces the likelihood of an away goal. In the last 5 matches the home side averaged 1.2 goals, the away side 0.8, and both teams conceded 0.8 goals each, so considering these figures and a league average BTTS of 38% (higher than the individual 0–20%), a No Goal / clean sheet expected scenario is more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on average xG I calculated expected goals: (Corvinul attack xG 1.78 + xG against Sepsi 2.99)/2 ≈ 2.39 for the home side and (Sepsi attack xG 0.51 + xG against Corvinul 1.66)/2 ≈ 1.08 for the away side, yielding a total of ~3.47 goals. Additionally, Corvinul averages 13 shots and 9 on target per match versus Sepsi’s 5 shots and just 1 on target, and the home conversion rate is 8% (away 0%), which increases the likelihood of chances for the home team. A Poisson model with λ=3.47 gives roughly an 86% probability of over 1.5 goals, 67% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for over 3.5 goals. Although seasonal metrics show both teams at 0% matches above 1.5 (i.e. 100% below 1.5), the xG signals and the home team’s shooting advantage (13 vs 5, 9 on target vs 1) favour the over 1.5 bet, so I recommend the 1.5 line on the Over as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast HT/FT 1/1 (lead at the break and home win) because Corvinul led at half-time in 100% of their season matches (leadingAtHT_home=100.0) and have a 100% win rate (winPercentage_home=100.0), while Sepsi have 0% wins and 100% losses (winPercentage_away=0.0, losePercentage_away=100.0). Additionally, the home xG is 1.78 versus 0.51 for the visitors, and average shots on target are 9.0 compared to 1.0 — these figures strongly support a home goal before the break. The home average goals by half-time is 1.0 vs 0.0 for the away side, and the data shows 1.0 home goal in the 16–30 minute window, which further correlates with an early lead (GoalsHT_home=1.0, goals_scored_min_16_to_30_home=1.0). However, the visitors average 1.0 second-half goal (AVG_2hg_away=1.0) and over05_2hg_percentage_away=100.0, so there is a realistic risk of an equalizer in the second half. Therefore I assign 60% to 1/1 as the strongest signal, and conservatively distribute the remainder (e.g. 12% to 1/X and 12% to X/1) due to the possibility of an away goal after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corvinul Hunedoara | Sepsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 56% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.10 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Corvinul Hunedoara is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Corvinul Hunedoara · 0.5 goals / match - Sepsi
Sepsi is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Corvinul Hunedoara · 0.5 goals / match - Sepsi
Corvinul Hunedoara scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Sepsi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Sepsi scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Corvinul Hunedoara keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Corvinul Hunedoara
Over / Under — Sepsi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sepsi is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Corvinul Hunedoara · 2 pts / match - Sepsi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corvinul Hunedoara - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sepsi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corvinul Hunedoara
Sepsi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga I).
Teams vs league
| Corvinul Hunedoara | Liga | Sepsi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.60 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 35% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Corvinul Hunedoara 1 - 0 - 2 Sepsi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi?
The Liga I match finished Corvinul Hunedoara 1:1 Sepsi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Corvinul Hunedoara and Sepsi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Corvinul Hunedoara won 1, Sepsi won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi?
Corvinul Hunedoara score 1.50 goals per game on average and Sepsi 0.50. The Liga I average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Corvinul Hunedoara's matches and 0% of Sepsi's.
What form are Corvinul Hunedoara and Sepsi in?
Over the last 5 games Corvinul Hunedoara have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Sepsi 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.