Cosenza vs Casertana: match statistics
Cosenza displays impressive home form with a 64% win rate at their stadium and a positive goal difference of +9 on home soil. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match, which, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 1.62 xG, indicates efficiency. Casertana, despite a solid 42% win rate away, has shown weaker recent form with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. The visitors have a lower conversion rate (11%) and score only 1.25 goals on average away from home. Cosenza's advantage in possession (50% vs 48%) and higher offensive efficiency on their own ground favor the hosts. Considering all indicators, Cosenza has a realistic chance of victory, though Casertana can be a tough opponent, which justifies the relatively high probability of a draw.
Cosenza vs Casertana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cosenza played Casertana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Cosenza: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Casertana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cosenza scores 1.48 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Casertana scores 1.39 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cosenza 61%, Casertana 52%. Over 2.5: Cosenza 52%, Casertana 43%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cosenza has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.40. Cosenza: 11.6 shots per match, Casertana: 11.0.
Match halves
Cosenza: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.96. Casertana: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Cosenza: 61-75 (10 goals). Casertana: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cosenza displays impressive home form with a 64% win rate at their stadium and a positive goal difference of +9 on home soil. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match, which, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 1.62 xG, indicates efficiency. Casertana, despite a solid 42% win rate away, has shown weaker recent form with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. The visitors have a lower conversion rate (11%) and score only 1.25 goals on average away from home. Cosenza's advantage in possession (50% vs 48%) and higher offensive efficiency on their own ground favor the hosts. Considering all indicators, Cosenza has a realistic chance of victory, though Casertana can be a tough opponent, which justifies the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cosenza | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casertana is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Cosenza · 1.4 pts / match - Casertana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cosenza is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Cosenza · 1.39 goals / match - Casertana
Casertana is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Cosenza · 1.04 goals / match - Casertana
Cosenza scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Casertana scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Cosenza keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cosenza
Over / Under - Casertana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Cosenza · 1.39 pts / match - Casertana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cosenza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cosenza
Casertana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Cosenza | Liga | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.49 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cosenza 0 - 1 - 0 Casertana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cosenza vs Casertana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Cosenza 3:1 Casertana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cosenza vs Casertana?
Cosenza score 1.48 goals per game on average and Casertana 1.39. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Cosenza's matches and 52% of Casertana's.
What form are Cosenza and Casertana in?
Over the last 5 games Cosenza have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Casertana 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cosenza vs Casertana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cosenza vs Casertana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.