Cosenza vs Foggia: match statistics
Cosenza vs Foggia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cosenza played Foggia in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Cosenza: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Foggia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cosenza scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Foggia scores 0.76 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cosenza 59%, Foggia 50%. Over 2.5: Cosenza 56%, Foggia 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Cosenza has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.11. Cosenza: 11.3 shots per match, Foggia: 8.9.
Match halves
Cosenza: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.03. Foggia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Cosenza: 76-90+ (14 goals). Foggia: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cosenza are the clear favorites: they win 76% of home matches, while Foggia win only 6% away and rank 18th in the away table. Offensively the hosts are markedly superior – Cosenza average 2.12 goals at home and have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, whereas Foggia average 0.71 goals per away game and have only 1 goal in their last 5. Chance quality also favors Cosenza: on average 5.12 shots on target at home with a 17% conversion rate versus 2.94 on target and 8% for Foggia; home xG for Cosenza is 1.57 against 1.13 xG for Foggia away. Defensively the gap is evident – Cosenza concede 1.00 goal on average at home with 29% clean sheets, while Foggia concede 1.88 goals away and fail to score in 47% of away matches. Considering the points average from the last 5 matches (Cosenza 2.0 vs Foggia 0.8) and the superiority in efficiency and chance creation, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis indicates a higher probability of No BTTS in this match — I assess 35% for “Yes” (BTTS - Yes) and 65% for “No” (No Goal). Key signal is the last 5 matches: Cosenza had BTTS in 80% of games and scored 10 goals in those 5 matches (avg 2.0), whereas Foggia had BTTS in 0% and scored only 1 goal (0.2 avg). Over the season Cosenza’s BTTS rate is 53% and Foggia’s is 47%, but Foggia failed to score in 47% of matches versus 35% for Cosenza, increasing the risk that one side will keep a clean sheet. Additionally, xG in the last 5 matches is 1.51 for the home team versus 0.99 for the away team, and the season average goals conceded is 1.88 for Foggia against 1.29 for Cosenza, with shot conversion rates of 8% versus 9%, which suggests Foggia struggles to create and convert chances. Given the league average BTTS of 50% and Foggia’s clear form issues, I prefer the “No” option as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging the teams' attack and defense yields projected xG: Cosenza (xG_for 1.09 vs Foggia xG_against 1.66) ≈1.38, Foggia (xG_for 1.13 vs Cosenza xG_against 1.40) ≈1.27, total ≈2.65 expected goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.65 gives ~74% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), which aligns with season Over 1.5 rates: 65% for Cosenza and 71% for Foggia. Cosenza have scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 avg) with 60% Over 2.5, while Foggia have scored 1 goal (0.2 avg) with 0% Over 2.5, so Over 2.5 is only moderately likely (~50%). Probability for Over 3.5 is low: season rates 6%/29% (home/away) and Poisson gives ≈28% for 4+ goals, so Under 3.5 looks safer. Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5) based on combined xG 2.65 and high seasonal Over 1.5 metrics.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: Cosenza had a draw at the break in 59% of their matches, while Foggia were level at half-time in 29% of fixtures. After 90 minutes I back the home side: Cosenza have won 60% of their last five matches and average 1.12 points per home game, whereas Foggia average only 0.41 points per away match. Additionally, Foggia concede 1.88 goals per game on average and have only a 6% win rate this season, limiting their chances of holding a lead or producing a turnaround. Cosenza also show superior statistics both at half-time and after the break (on average 1.47 points at half-time at home vs 0.65 away, and the home side averaged 2.2 points after the break in their last five games), so the most probable scenario is a half-time draw and a home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cosenza | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cosenza is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Cosenza · 0.8 pts / match - Foggia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cosenza is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Cosenza · 0.76 goals / match - Foggia
Cosenza is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Cosenza · 1.59 goals / match - Foggia
Cosenza scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Foggia keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Foggia scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Cosenza keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cosenza
Over / Under - Foggia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cosenza is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Cosenza · 1.06 pts / match - Foggia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cosenza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Foggia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cosenza
Foggia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Cosenza | Liga | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cosenza 0 - 0 - 1 Foggia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cosenza vs Foggia?
The Serie C Group C match finished Cosenza 1:0 Foggia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cosenza vs Foggia?
Cosenza score 1.59 goals per game on average and Foggia 0.76. The Serie C Group C average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Cosenza's matches and 50% of Foggia's.
What form are Cosenza and Foggia in?
Over the last 5 games Cosenza have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Foggia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cosenza vs Foggia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.