Cosenza vs Inter II: match statistics

Inter II are favorites: they have won 3 of their last 5 away matches, while Cosenza have failed to win any of their last 5 home games. The visitors average 2 goals per match away from home, whereas the hosts score just 0.6 goals at home and have failed to score in 40% of those matches. Inter II’s advantage is backed up by the quality of the chances they create: their away xG is 1.88 compared with Cosenza’s 1.45 at home, and they average 5.4 shots on target against 3.8. The hosts’ defence concedes an average of 1.6 goals at home, which, combined with the visitors’ 13% conversion rate, increases the chances of an away win. One risk to this prediction is that Inter II have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches; however, Cosenza have scored just 4 goals over the same period.

BTTS landed in 100% of Cosenza’s home matches and 60% of Inter II’s away matches, supporting the case for both teams to score. Cosenza average 1.83 goals at home, while Inter II score 2.00 away; their average xG figures are 1.76 and 1.88 respectively, indicating that both sides regularly create chances. The visitors’ prospects are further strengthened by Cosenza conceding an average of 2.00 goals at home and failing to keep a clean sheet there. Some caution is warranted over the hosts’ recent scoring form: they have averaged just 0.8 goals across their last 5 matches, while Inter II have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their away games. Even so, BTTS has landed in 60% of Cosenza’s last 5 matches and 80% of Inter II’s, so a goal for each team remains the more likely scenario.

All previous meetings between the two teams have finished with at least two goals, making this the strongest indication in favour of Over 1.5 goals. Cosenza score an average of 1.83 goals and concede 2.00, while Inter II score 2.00 and concede 1.40, so both teams’ season statistics point to goals. In their last five matches, the visitors averaged 2.00 goals scored with an xG of 2.14, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.60 goals over the same period. Over 2.5 goals is also supported by the results—it has landed in 67% of Cosenza’s matches and 80% of Inter II’s—but Over 1.5 remains the safer choice with a forecast of 3.33 goals.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Cosenza were level at the break in all of their last five matches, while Inter II were level in three of five. During this period, both teams averaged 0.4 goals before half-time, further suggesting that neither is likely to take an early lead. The visitors’ advantage is more pronounced after the break: they averaged 1.6 second-half goals in their last five matches, compared with Cosenza’s 0.4, while also conceding 1.2. Inter II’s prospects of winning at full-time are also supported by their average of 2.0 goals scored in their last five matches, against Cosenza’s 0.8, and a slightly higher xG across the period analysed: 1.88 versus 1.76. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an away win at full-time is the strongest scenario, although the teams’ first-half form warrants caution when assessing the final result.