Scotland - League OneData current as of 13 September 2026

Cove Rangers vs Queen of the South: match statistics

Cove Rangers crest
Cove Rangers
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Queen of the South crest
Queen of the South
125%(2.55)
X30%(3.40)
245%(2.60)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 2Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.37.85
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.17.00%

Queen of the South display significantly better form and statistics than Cove Rangers. The hosts occupy 9th place in the table with just a 10% home win rate and as many as 70% of home matches in which they failed to score. Their form in the last 5 home matches is disastrous (L, D, L, L, L, L, W, D, L, D), and their goal difference in home matches is -7. Queen of the South, in 4th place in the table, have a much better away record - 36% wins and only 45% losses away from home, with an average of 1.18 goals scored per away match. The visitors also have a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 5%) and better clean sheets (36% vs 20%). Although the visitors' recent form is mixed (L, L, W, W, D), their overall statistical and qualitative advantage over the weak hosts points to a Queen of the South victory.

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Cove Rangers vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cove Rangers played Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Cove Rangers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Queen of the South: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cove Rangers scores 1.05 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.61 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cove Rangers 36%, Queen of the South 43%. Over 2.5: Cove Rangers 45%, Queen of the South 52%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.25. Cove Rangers: 9.6 shots per match, Queen of the South: 10.6.

Match halves

Cove Rangers: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.59. Queen of the South: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (7 goals). Queen of the South: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Queen of the South display significantly better form and statistics than Cove Rangers. The hosts occupy 9th place in the table with just a 10% home win rate and as many as 70% of home matches in which they failed to score. Their form in the last 5 home matches is disastrous (L, D, L, L, L, L, W, D, L, D), and their goal difference in home matches is -7. Queen of the South, in 4th place in the table, have a much better away record - 36% wins and only 45% losses away from home, with an average of 1.18 goals scored per away match. The visitors also have a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 5%) and better clean sheets (36% vs 20%). Although the visitors' recent form is mixed (L, L, W, W, D), their overall statistical and qualitative advantage over the weak hosts points to a Queen of the South victory.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Cove RangersQueen of the South
12Shots11
Cove RangersQueen of the South
8Shots on target6
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.63xG1.47
Cove RangersQueen of the South
9Corners7
Cove RangersQueen of the South
44Dangerous attacks50
Cove RangersQueen of the South
7Fouls10
Cove RangersQueen of the South
5Cards4
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.82Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.65
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.05Goals scored / match1.61
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.36Goals conceded / match1.22
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.25xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.33
Cove RangersQueen of the South
49%Average possession52%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
4.23Shots on target / match4.52
Cove RangersQueen of the South
23%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.35%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
36%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.43%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.59Shots per match10.61
Cove RangersQueen of the South
4.23Shots on target4.52
Cove RangersQueen of the South
10.9%Shot conversion15.2%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
49%Possession52%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.25xG for1.33
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.33xG against1.32
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Shooting quality

Cove Rangers: BalancedQueen of the South: Efficient finishing
Cove RangersQueen of the South
Accuracy (shots on target)44%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Queen of the South is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cove Rangers · 2 pts / match - Queen of the South

Cove Rangers
WWDLD
Season result split
18% W27% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-12
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Queen of the South
WLWWD
Season result split
48% W22% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-7
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Queen of the South is 53% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Cove Rangers · 1.61 goals / match - Queen of the South

Queen of the South is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.36 goals / match - Cove Rangers · 1.22 goals / match - Queen of the South

Cove Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Cove Rangers scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

Queen of the South scoring profile: very strong

Queen of the South scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

23Goals scored (season)37
Cove RangersQueen of the South
30Goals conceded (season)28
Cove RangersQueen of the South
2.41Average goals in match2.83
Cove RangersQueen of the South
11Goals scored (last 5)14
Cove RangersQueen of the South
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Cove RangersQueen of the South
Cove Rangers
23%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 22 matches
55%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.12 of 22 matches
Queen of the South
35%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.8 of 23 matches
26%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.6 of 23 matches

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal74%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
27%2 goals43%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
18%3 goals26%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
9%4 goals13%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal65%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
45%2 goals35%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
14%3 goals13%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
0%4 goals9%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
Cove Rangers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 22 matches
43%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 23 matches
44%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
5%BTTS in both halves4%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
18%Scored in both halves39%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
40%BTTS - last 580%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

86%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.96%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
64%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.87%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
45%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.52%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
23%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.30%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
9%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.13%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Over / Under - Cove Rangers

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 86%Under 14%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 64%Under 36%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 45%Under 55%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 23%Under 77%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 9%Under 91%

Over / Under - Queen of the South

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 96%Under 4%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 30%Under 70%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Queen of the South is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / match - Cove Rangers · 1.48 pts / match - Queen of the South

Cove Rangers - half-time state
23% leading41% draw36% trailing
Queen of the South - half-time state
39% leading30% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per match (1st half)1.48
Cove RangersQueen of the South
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Cove RangersQueen of the South
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.13
Cove RangersQueen of the South
50%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
68%No goal before half-time52%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.61
Cove RangersQueen of the South
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)1
Cove RangersQueen of the South
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Cove RangersQueen of the South
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.7
Cove RangersQueen of the South
50%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Cove RangersQueen of the South
68%No goal after half-time35%
Cove RangersQueen of the South

Cove Rangers - second-half results

23% W36% D41% L
24
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Queen of the South - second-half results

48% W17% D35% L
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cove Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Queen of the South - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cove Rangers
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
9
6
46-60
5
5
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cove Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Cove RangersLigaQueen of the South
Average goals in match▼ 2.412.66▲ 2.83
Both teams scored▼ 36%44%• 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 45%53%• 52%
Clean sheets▼ 23%32%▲ 35%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%72%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▼ 68%80%▲ 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Queen of the SouthGoalKai Kennedy
  2. Queen of the SouthYellow cardMatthew Douglas
  3. Cove RangersYellow cardBlair Yule
  4. Cove RangersYellow cardFraser Fyvie
  5. Queen of the SouthYellow cardReece Lyon
  6. Cove RangersYellow cardLiam Parker
  7. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Brennan DickensonOff: Liam Smith
  8. Queen of the SouthYellow cardKurtis Guthrie
  9. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Menzi MazwiOff: Jack Stott
  10. Cove RangersYellow cardLewis O'Donnell
  11. Cove RangersGoalMitchel MegginsonAssist: Lewis O'Donnell
  12. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: Chris MaguireOff: Fraser Fyvie
  13. Queen of the SouthYellow cardBrennan Dickenson
  14. Cove RangersYellow cardLewis Carrol
  15. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Ben JohnstoneOff: Menzi Mazwi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereePeter Stuart

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cove Rangers 0 - 1 - 1 Queen of the South. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Queen of the South FC
1 : 1
Cove Rangers FC
Cove Rangers FC
0 : 2
Queen of the South FC

FAQ

What was the result of Cove Rangers vs Queen of the South?

The League One match finished Cove Rangers 1:1 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cove Rangers and Queen of the South?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cove Rangers won 0, Queen of the South won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cove Rangers vs Queen of the South?

Cove Rangers score 1.05 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.61. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Cove Rangers's matches and 43% of Queen of the South's.

What form are Cove Rangers and Queen of the South in?

Over the last 5 games Cove Rangers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Queen of the South 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cove Rangers vs Queen of the South?

The statistical background for Cove Rangers vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.