Coventry City vs Millwall: match statistics
Coventry City boasts an impressive home record with a 77% win rate and an average of 2.23 goals per game, making them the clear favorites for this encounter. The hosts sit atop the table and hold a distinct advantage in possession (57% vs 44%) as well as a significantly better xG balance (1.99 vs 1.26 for the visitors away). Millwall, despite decent form in their last five matches, possesses weaker away statistics with just 38% wins and a negative goal difference (-2). Coventry concedes only 0.77 goals per home game on average, while Millwall scores a mere 1.08 goals away, suggesting the visitors will struggle to breach the home defense. Considering all factors, a victory for Coventry City is the most likely scenario, although Millwall's solid defense (31% clean sheets away) could make this a tight contest.
Coventry City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coventry City played Millwall in Championship (England). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Coventry City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Millwall: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coventry City scores 2.19 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.15 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coventry City 59%, Millwall 44%. Over 2.5: Coventry City 59%, Millwall 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Coventry City has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.42. Coventry City: 17.4 shots per match, Millwall: 12.5.
Match halves
Coventry City: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.15. Millwall: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Coventry City: 31-45+ (12 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Coventry City boasts an impressive home record with a 77% win rate and an average of 2.23 goals per game, making them the clear favorites for this encounter. The hosts sit atop the table and hold a distinct advantage in possession (57% vs 44%) as well as a significantly better xG balance (1.99 vs 1.26 for the visitors away). Millwall, despite decent form in their last five matches, possesses weaker away statistics with just 38% wins and a negative goal difference (-2). Coventry concedes only 0.77 goals per home game on average, while Millwall scores a mere 1.08 goals away, suggesting the visitors will struggle to breach the home defense. Considering all factors, a victory for Coventry City is the most likely scenario, although Millwall's solid defense (31% clean sheets away) could make this a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coventry City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Coventry City · 2.2 pts / match - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Coventry City is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
2.19 goals / match - Coventry City · 1.15 goals / match - Millwall
Coventry City is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Coventry City · 1.22 goals / match - Millwall
Coventry City scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Millwall scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Coventry City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Coventry City
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Coventry City is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / match - Coventry City · 1.37 pts / match - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coventry City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coventry City
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Coventry City | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Coventry City 1 - 0 - 0 Millwall. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Coventry City vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Coventry City 2:1 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Coventry City vs Millwall?
Coventry City score 2.19 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.15. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Coventry City's matches and 44% of Millwall's.
What form are Coventry City and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Coventry City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Millwall 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coventry City vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Coventry City vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.