Coventry City vs Newcastle United: match statistics
Coventry City vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coventry City played Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: The Coventry Building Society Arena. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Coventry City: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Newcastle United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coventry City scores 0.20 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.80 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coventry City 0%, Newcastle United 80%. Over 2.5: Coventry City 40%, Newcastle United 80%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Newcastle United has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.16. Coventry City: 10.2 shots per match, Newcastle United: 10.2.
Match halves
Coventry City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. Newcastle United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Coventry City: 46-60 (1 goals). Newcastle United: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newcastle United are favourites, having won 3 of their last five matches, while Coventry City have suffered 4 defeats. The hosts have lost both of their matches at home so far, failed to score in either and conceded an average of 3 goals per game. The visitors score an average of 1.5 goals away from home, with a shot conversion rate of 17%, giving them a clear edge over a side yet to make the most of any opportunity at home. However, the underlying numbers suggest the game could be more evenly matched than the results indicate: Coventry’s home xG is 1.46, compared with Newcastle’s away xG of 1.12, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals on the road. Despite this, the difference in finishing efficiency and results so far points to a Newcastle win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Coventry’s recent scoring record: they averaged 0.4 goals across their last five matches, and both teams scored in only 20% of those games. Newcastle averaged 1.6 goals during that period, while Coventry conceded 2.0, making an away goal seem more likely than a home goal. However, the signal is not conclusive: Coventry recently recorded an xG of 1.36, while Newcastle conceded an average of 1.4 goals, giving the hosts a genuine chance to score. Even so, Newcastle’s 50% clean-sheet rate, combined with Coventry’s low recent scoring output, tips the forecast slightly toward a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In the seasonal statistics considered, every match involving either team featured at least 2 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 goals line. Coventry conceded an average of 2.0 goals across their last 5 matches, while Newcastle scored 1.6 goals per game over the same period, so the visitors should have opportunities to find the net. The hosts have scored just 0.4 goals per game recently, but their average xG was 1.36, and Newcastle allowed opponents chances worth 1.65 xG. I expect around 2.9 goals in total; Over 2.5 is less certain, as the line was exceeded in 40% of Coventry’s and 60% of Newcastle’s last 5 matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, although the hosts’ recent finishing warrants caution.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Newcastle win at full-time appears to be the most likely outcome, although this scenario does not have a strong edge. Coventry led at the break in 2 of 3 home matches, but in none of their last 5 matches overall, which weakens the signal from their home statistics. Both teams were level at half-time in 40% of their last 5 matches, while Newcastle have failed to score before the break in both of their away appearances so far. After half-time, the visitors average 1.5 goals scored away from home, while the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goals in second halves at home. Newcastle’s recent form also points towards an away win: 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 1.6 goals scored, compared with Coventry’s 1 win and an average of 0.4 goals.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coventry City | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.06 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newcastle United is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Coventry City · 1.6 pts / match - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Newcastle United is 800% better for: goals scored per match.
0.2 goals / match - Coventry City · 1.8 goals / match - Newcastle United
Newcastle United is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Coventry City · 1.8 goals / match - Newcastle United
Coventry City scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Newcastle United scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Coventry City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Coventry City
Over / Under - Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Newcastle United is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Coventry City · 1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coventry City - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coventry City
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Coventry City | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 54% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Coventry City 4:1 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Coventry City score 0.20 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.80. The Premier League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Coventry City's matches and 80% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Coventry City and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Coventry City have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Newcastle United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.