Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków: match statistics

Wieczysta Kraków show greater efficiency away from home, averaging 2.5 goals per match, compared with Cracovia’s 1.0 goal per home game. The visitors are also in better recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and scoring 11 goals in that period, compared with Cracovia’s 3. However, Cracovia create high-quality chances, with an average home xG of 2.21 versus Wieczysta’s 1.57 away from home, while also attempting 18.5 shots per match. The hosts struggle to convert their dominance into goals, converting just 5% of their shots and failing to score in 50% of their home matches. Wieczysta, meanwhile, have scored in every away game and boast a 19% conversion rate. Neither defence has kept a clean sheet, but Cracovia concede an average of 1.5 goals at home, while Wieczysta concede as many as 2.5 away from home. Therefore, an open game with a narrow advantage for the visitors appears the most likely outcome.

The seasonal data clearly points to goals: both Cracovia and Wieczysta have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their matches, and neither team has kept a clean sheet yet. Wieczysta score an average of 2.5 goals per game and register 5.0 shots on target, while Cracovia concede an average of 2.0 goals with the opposition posting xG as high as 2.27. The hosts have been weaker across their last five matches, scoring just 0.6 goals and recording BTTS in 20% of games, which clearly limits confidence in the pick. However, their current xG stands at 1.63, while Wieczysta have allowed opponents 1.89 xG over the same period and concede an average of 2.0 goals, meaning Cracovia should have a realistic chance of scoring. The visitors’ attack, which has produced 2.2 goals per game across their last five appearances, makes a scenario with both teams scoring more likely than BTTS - No, where at least one team fails to score.

Wieczysta average 2.5 goals per match, while Cracovia concede 2.0, with a very high-quality chance profile: 1.57 xG for the visitors compared with 2.27 xG allowed by the hosts. Cracovia have yet to keep a clean sheet, and neither have Wieczysta, while both teams have scored and conceded in 100% of their matches so far. In their last five games, Wieczysta have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Although only 20% of Cracovia’s matches during this period went Over 2.5 goals, the projected total of 3.20 goals and the visitors’ attacking profile provide the strongest edge for Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Wieczysta win, as Cracovia were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while scoring just 0.2 goals before half-time during that period. Wieczysta have clearly greater attacking potential: their average xG is 1.57 compared with Cracovia’s 1.37, while their average number of shots on target is 5.0 versus 2.0 for the hosts. After the break, the visitors have averaged 1.4 goals over their last five matches, whereas Cracovia have scored just 0.4 goals in the second half. In addition, Cracovia’s defence allows an average xG of 2.27, significantly higher than Wieczysta’s 1.64. The visitors won 60% of their last five matches, and their games produce an average of 4.2 goals, increasing the likelihood that they will turn around an evenly contested first 45 minutes in their favour after half-time.