Cremonese vs Cagliari: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched teams. Cremonese displays poor home form with just a 25% win rate and a -2 goal difference, averaging only 0.8 points per game in their last five outings. Cagliari faces similar struggles on the road – 22% wins and a -3 differential, though their recent form is superior (1.4 points per game in the last five matches). Both sides are characterized by a high draw percentage (38% for the hosts, 33% for the visitors), which, combined with similar xG figures (1.04 vs 0.97) and comparable offensive efficiency, suggests a stalemate. Furthermore, both teams rarely keep clean sheets and struggle with scoring consistency, evidenced by a high percentage of matches where they fail to score.
Cremonese vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cremonese played Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 8 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Cremonese: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cagliari: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cremonese scores 1.00 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Cagliari scores 1.06 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cremonese 50%, Cagliari 56%. Over 2.5: Cremonese 33%, Cagliari 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cagliari has higher xG: 1.06 vs 0.97. Cremonese: 8.3 shots per match, Cagliari: 9.6.
Match halves
Cremonese: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Cagliari: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Cremonese: 76-90+ (6 goals). Cagliari: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched teams. Cremonese displays poor home form with just a 25% win rate and a -2 goal difference, averaging only 0.8 points per game in their last five outings. Cagliari faces similar struggles on the road – 22% wins and a -3 differential, though their recent form is superior (1.4 points per game in the last five matches). Both sides are characterized by a high draw percentage (38% for the hosts, 33% for the visitors), which, combined with similar xG figures (1.04 vs 0.97) and comparable offensive efficiency, suggests a stalemate. Furthermore, both teams rarely keep clean sheets and struggle with scoring consistency, evidenced by a high percentage of matches where they fail to score.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cremonese | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cagliari is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Cremonese · 1.4 pts / match - Cagliari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cagliari is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Cremonese · 1.06 goals / match - Cagliari
Cremonese is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Cremonese · 1.39 goals / match - Cagliari
Cremonese scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Cagliari scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cremonese
Over / Under - Cagliari
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cremonese is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Cremonese · 0.89 pts / match - Cagliari
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cremonese
Cagliari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cremonese | Liga | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 32% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Cremonese vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match finished Cremonese 2:2 Cagliari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cremonese vs Cagliari?
Cremonese score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.06. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cremonese's matches and 56% of Cagliari's.
What form are Cremonese and Cagliari in?
Over the last 5 games Cremonese have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cagliari 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cremonese vs Cagliari?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cremonese vs Cagliari: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.