Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics
Crewe Alexandra displays solid home form, boasting a 45% win rate and a +2 goal difference at their own ground, averaging 1.64 goals per match. The hosts hold the edge in possession (49% vs 43%) and possess a significantly superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%). Conversely, Cheltenham Town exhibits serious struggles on the road, losing 55% of their away fixtures with a negative goal difference of -13, while averaging just 0.91 goals per game. The visitors are further hampered by a high failure-to-score rate in away matches (36%), which diminishes their prospects. Despite Cheltenham's better overall recent form (2 PPG vs 1 PPG), their dismal away statistics combined with Crewe's home advantage point towards a victory for the hosts. A high-scoring affair is anticipated, considering the hosts' average of 3.09 total match goals and the defensive vulnerabilities of both squads.
Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crewe Alexandra played Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Crewe Alexandra: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crewe Alexandra scores 1.48 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 0.91 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crewe Alexandra 61%, Cheltenham Town 39%. Over 2.5: Crewe Alexandra 57%, Cheltenham Town 35%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Crewe Alexandra has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.10. Crewe Alexandra: 12.5 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 9.7.
Match halves
Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Crewe Alexandra: 16-30 (8 goals). Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crewe Alexandra displays solid home form, boasting a 45% win rate and a +2 goal difference at their own ground, averaging 1.64 goals per match. The hosts hold the edge in possession (49% vs 43%) and possess a significantly superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%). Conversely, Cheltenham Town exhibits serious struggles on the road, losing 55% of their away fixtures with a negative goal difference of -13, while averaging just 0.91 goals per game. The visitors are further hampered by a high failure-to-score rate in away matches (36%), which diminishes their prospects. Despite Cheltenham's better overall recent form (2 PPG vs 1 PPG), their dismal away statistics combined with Crewe's home advantage point towards a victory for the hosts. A high-scoring affair is anticipated, considering the hosts' average of 3.09 total match goals and the defensive vulnerabilities of both squads.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crewe Alexandra | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cheltenham Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra · 2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crewe Alexandra is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra · 0.91 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Crewe Alexandra is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra · 1.61 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Crewe Alexandra scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Cheltenham Town scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crewe Alexandra
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crewe Alexandra is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra · 1.04 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crewe Alexandra
Cheltenham Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Crewe Alexandra | Liga | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Crewe Alexandra 4:1 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town?
Crewe Alexandra score 1.48 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 0.91. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Crewe Alexandra's matches and 39% of Cheltenham Town's.
What form are Crewe Alexandra and Cheltenham Town in?
Over the last 5 games Crewe Alexandra have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.