Brazil - Serie BEstádio Heriberto HülseData current as of 23 July 2026

Criciúma vs Náutico: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Criciúma vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Criciúma play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio Heriberto Hülse.

Current form

Criciúma: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Criciúma scores 1.21 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Criciúma 47%, Náutico 33%. Over 2.5: Criciúma 21%, Náutico 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.44. Criciúma: 13.5 shots per match, Náutico: 16.6.

Match halves

Criciúma: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.58. Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Criciúma: 0-15 (6 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.21Goals scored / match1.22
CriciúmaNáutico
0.63Goals conceded / match1.28
CriciúmaNáutico
51%Average possession60%
CriciúmaNáutico
3.63Shots on target / match4.33
CriciúmaNáutico

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.47Shots per match16.56
CriciúmaNáutico
3.63Shots on target4.33
CriciúmaNáutico
9%Shot conversion7.4%
CriciúmaNáutico
51%Possession60%
CriciúmaNáutico
1.44xG for1.77
CriciúmaNáutico
1.31xG against1.25
CriciúmaNáutico

Shooting quality

Criciúma: BalancedNáutico: Dominant
CriciúmaNáutico
Accuracy (shots on target)27%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Criciúma is 1400% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Criciúma · 0.2 pts / match - Náutico

Criciúma
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
58% W32% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-2
2.05 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Náutico
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-9
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Criciúma is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.63 goals / match - Criciúma · 1.28 goals / match - Náutico

Criciúma scoring profile: very strong

Criciúma scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Náutico scoring profile: mixed

Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Criciúma keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).

23Goals scored (season)22
CriciúmaNáutico
12Goals conceded (season)23
CriciúmaNáutico
1.84Average goals in match2.5
CriciúmaNáutico
7Goals scored (last 5)4
CriciúmaNáutico
1Goals conceded (last 5)9
CriciúmaNáutico

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal56%
CriciúmaNáutico
26%2 goals28%
CriciúmaNáutico
5%3 goals17%
CriciúmaNáutico
0%4 goals11%
CriciúmaNáutico

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal72%
CriciúmaNáutico
5%2 goals39%
CriciúmaNáutico
5%3 goals11%
CriciúmaNáutico
0%4 goals6%
CriciúmaNáutico

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time11%
CriciúmaNáutico
5%BTTS in both halves6%
CriciúmaNáutico
26%Scored in both halves22%
CriciúmaNáutico

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
CriciúmaNáutico
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CriciúmaNáutico
20%BTTS - last 540%
CriciúmaNáutico

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CriciúmaNáutico
11%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
CriciúmaNáutico
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
CriciúmaNáutico

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
CriciúmaNáutico
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
CriciúmaNáutico
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
CriciúmaNáutico

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Criciúma is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / match - Criciúma · 0.83 pts / match - Náutico

Criciúma - half-time state
53% leading32% draw16% trailing
Náutico - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per match (1st half)0.83
CriciúmaNáutico
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.33
CriciúmaNáutico
0.21Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
CriciúmaNáutico
0.84Average goals (1st half)1.06
CriciúmaNáutico
84%Clean sheet before half-time44%
CriciúmaNáutico
42%No goal before half-time78%
CriciúmaNáutico

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.61
CriciúmaNáutico
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
CriciúmaNáutico
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
CriciúmaNáutico
1Average goals (2nd half)1.44
CriciúmaNáutico
58%Clean sheet after half-time61%
CriciúmaNáutico
42%No goal after half-time44%
CriciúmaNáutico

Criciúma - second-half results

26% W63% R11% P
36
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Náutico - second-half results

44% W28% R28% P
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Criciúma - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Náutico - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Criciúma
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
1
46-60
5
3
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Criciúma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.95
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CriciúmaLigaNáutico
Average goals in match 1.842.28 2.50
Both teams scored 47%48% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%42% 39%
Clean sheets 47%31% 28%
Goal before half-time 68%66% 67%
Goal after half-time 68%74% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Criciúma 1 - 0 - 0 Náutico. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Criciúma and Náutico play?

Criciúma face Náutico on 26 July 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Heriberto Hülse. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Criciúma vs Náutico?

Criciúma score 1.21 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.22. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Criciúma's matches and 33% of Náutico's.

What form are Criciúma and Náutico in?

Over the last 5 games Criciúma have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Náutico 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Criciúma vs Náutico?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Criciúma vs Náutico: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.