Croatia Zmijavci vs Hrvace: match statistics

Croatia Zmijavci are showing clearly better recent form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and collected 9 points, while Hrvace have suffered 4 defeats and picked up just 3 points. The hosts scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 per match, whereas the visitors managed only 3, highlighting the away side’s limited attacking efficiency. The defensive record is equally significant, with Croatia Zmijavci conceding 5 goals in five matches compared with Hrvace’s 9, an average of 1.8 per game. The hosts’ goal difference over their last five outings stands at +2, while the visitors’ is -6, further strengthening the case for their superiority. With home advantage and a more favorable trend, a Croatia Zmijavci victory is the most likely outcome.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is limited, as this scenario occurred in only 40% of the teams’ last five matches. Hrvace scored just 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6 per match, while also losing four of their last five games. Croatia Zmijavci concede an average of 1.0 goal per match across their last five, which further reduces the visitors’ chances of overcoming their poor scoring efficiency. The hosts do average 1.4 goals per match, while Hrvace concede 1.8, so the most realistic outcome is a Croatia Zmijavci goal with a possible clean sheet for the hosts. Hrvace’s higher xG of 1.49, compared with their actual average of 0.6 goals, leaves some room for an upset, but the conversion data and BTTS frequency still provide stronger support for BTTS - No. This means that at least one team is expected not to score; it does not automatically indicate a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

The data from the last five matches indicates an advantage for Croatia Zmijavci: the hosts scored an average of 1.4 goals, while Hrvace conceded as many as 1.8 goals per match. At the same time, Hrvace scored only 0.6 goals per game, while Croatia Zmijavci allowed opponents an average of 1.0 goal, limiting the visitors’ projected goal tally to around 0.85. The combined xG from the last five matches is moderate, standing at 1.45 for the hosts and 1.49 for the visitors, but Hrvace’s actual attacking output produced just 3 goals during this period. For both teams, 3 of their last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals; however, reaching at least 4 goals would require significantly better finishing from the visitors than their recent numbers suggest. With an expected total of 2.40 goals, the safest signal is Under 3.5.

Croatia Zmijavci are in better form: they have averaged 1.4 goals and won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Hrvace have scored just 0.6 goals and lost 4 of their last 5 games. The hosts’ advantage should become particularly evident after the break, as they have averaged 1.0 goal in the second half, while the visitors have failed to score after the interval in as many as 80% of their recent outings. A cautious first half is nevertheless more likely, since the hosts were level at half-time in 60% of their matches, and both teams averaged just 0.4 goals per game before the break. The 1/1 scenario remains the strongest, as Hrvace conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match and lost 80% of their recent games, while Croatia Zmijavci won the second half in 80% of cases.