Crotone vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Crotone presents solid home form with a 45% win record and just 0.73 goals conceded on average per match at home, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. Potenza Calcio has a catastrophic away record – only 9% wins, 64% losses, and they have never kept a clean sheet on the road, conceding a massive 2.36 goals per match. The goal difference confirms the hosts' advantage: Crotone has +5 at home, while Potenza has -14 away. Expected goals (xG) also favor the hosts: 1.39 xG for Crotone in home matches versus 1.33 xG for Potenza away, coupled with Crotone's significantly better defense. Although both teams have an identical 1.4 points per game in the last five matches, the drastic difference in home and away effectiveness speaks for a home victory.
Crotone vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crotone played Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Crotone: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crotone scores 1.32 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 1.32 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crotone 32%, Potenza Calcio 50%. Over 2.5: Crotone 41%, Potenza Calcio 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.46. Crotone: 11.2 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 13.1.
Match halves
Crotone: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.59. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Crotone: 16-30 (8 goals). Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crotone presents solid home form with a 45% win record and just 0.73 goals conceded on average per match at home, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. Potenza Calcio has a catastrophic away record – only 9% wins, 64% losses, and they have never kept a clean sheet on the road, conceding a massive 2.36 goals per match. The goal difference confirms the hosts' advantage: Crotone has +5 at home, while Potenza has -14 away. Expected goals (xG) also favor the hosts: 1.39 xG for Crotone in home matches versus 1.33 xG for Potenza away, coupled with Crotone's significantly better defense. Although both teams have an identical 1.4 points per game in the last five matches, the drastic difference in home and away effectiveness speaks for a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crotone | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crotone is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Crotone · 1 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crotone is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Crotone · 1.45 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Crotone scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crotone
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crotone is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Crotone · 1.5 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crotone
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Crotone | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Crotone 0 - 1 - 0 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crotone vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Crotone 2:0 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Crotone vs Potenza Calcio?
Crotone score 1.32 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.32. The Serie C Group C average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Crotone's matches and 50% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Crotone and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Crotone have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crotone vs Potenza Calcio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Crotone vs Potenza Calcio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.