Crotone vs Salernitana: match statistics
Crotone displays significantly better home form with an impressive 60% home win rate and a positive +12 goal difference as hosts. The home team scores an average of 1.4 goals per game in home clashes, conceding just 0.6 goals, which translates to 53% clean sheets. Salernitana shows weaker attacking efficiency in away fixtures (averaging 1.13 goals) and concedes more (1.27 per match), resulting in a negative away goal difference of -2. The recent form of both teams also favors Crotone - the hosts have secured 2 points per game in their last five matches, while Salernitana managed only 1 point. Given the hosts' advantage in home statistics and the visitors' weaker away performances, Crotone has a realistic chance of securing a victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to evenly matched ball possession and similar xG values for both teams.
Crotone vs Salernitana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crotone played Salernitana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Crotone: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Salernitana: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crotone scores 1.55 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Salernitana scores 1.23 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crotone 42%, Salernitana 55%. Over 2.5: Crotone 45%, Salernitana 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Salernitana has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.44. Crotone: 11.2 shots per match, Salernitana: 12.5.
Match halves
Crotone: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.74. Salernitana: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Crotone: 16-30 (11 goals). Salernitana: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crotone displays significantly better home form with an impressive 60% home win rate and a positive +12 goal difference as hosts. The home team scores an average of 1.4 goals per game in home clashes, conceding just 0.6 goals, which translates to 53% clean sheets. Salernitana shows weaker attacking efficiency in away fixtures (averaging 1.13 goals) and concedes more (1.27 per match), resulting in a negative away goal difference of -2. The recent form of both teams also favors Crotone - the hosts have secured 2 points per game in their last five matches, while Salernitana managed only 1 point. Given the hosts' advantage in home statistics and the visitors' weaker away performances, Crotone has a realistic chance of securing a victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to evenly matched ball possession and similar xG values for both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crotone | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crotone is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Crotone · 1 pts / match - Salernitana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crotone is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Crotone · 1.23 goals / match - Salernitana
Crotone is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Crotone · 1.03 goals / match - Salernitana
Crotone scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Salernitana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Salernitana scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crotone
Over / Under - Salernitana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crotone is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Crotone · 1.32 pts / match - Salernitana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Salernitana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crotone
Salernitana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Crotone | Liga | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Crotone 0 - 1 - 0 Salernitana. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crotone vs Salernitana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Crotone 0:1 Salernitana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Crotone vs Salernitana?
Crotone score 1.55 goals per game on average and Salernitana 1.23. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Crotone's matches and 55% of Salernitana's.
What form are Crotone and Salernitana in?
Over the last 5 games Crotone have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Salernitana 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crotone vs Salernitana?
The statistical background for Crotone vs Salernitana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.