Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Ezio ScidaData current as of 22 October 2026

Crotone vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Crotone vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Crotone play Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 26 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Ezio Scida.

Current form

Crotone: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Crotone scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.20 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Crotone 60%, Virtus Casarano 50%. Over 2.5: Crotone 50%, Virtus Casarano 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Crotone has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.37. Crotone: 15.0 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 10.7.

Match halves

Crotone: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Crotone: 0-15 (3 goals). Virtus Casarano: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.03)
(3.34)
(3.16)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1Goals scored / match1.2
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.5Goals conceded / match1.8
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
54%Average possession54%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
5Shots on target / match4
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match10.7
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
5Shots on target4
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
6.7%Shot conversion11.2%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
54%Possession54%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.72xG for1.37
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.27xG against1.83
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Crotone: AttackingVirtus Casarano: Balanced
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Crotone is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Crotone · 0.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone
DWLLD
Season result split
10% W40% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-5
0.70 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Virtus Casarano
DLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W20% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-5
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Virtus Casarano is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Crotone · 1.2 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Crotone · 1.8 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone scoring profile: strong

Crotone scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: very strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

10Goals scored (season)12
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
15Goals conceded (season)18
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
2.5Average goals in match3
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
7Goals scored (last 5)3
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal60%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
40%2 goals30%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0%3 goals20%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals10%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal80%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
50%2 goals40%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
10%3 goals30%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals20%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time20%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0%BTTS in both halves10%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
10%Scored in both halves20%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
80%BTTS - last 540%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Crotone - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
20% leading70% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.3
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.3Average goals (1st half)0.9
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
50%Clean sheet before half-time70%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
60%No goal before half-time60%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.9
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.2Average goals (2nd half)2.1
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
50%Clean sheet after half-time20%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
70%No goal after half-time60%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Crotone - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Crotone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Virtus Casarano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Crotone
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
5
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
5
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Crotone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CrotoneLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals in match▼ 2.502.88▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 60%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%55%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 10%28%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%74%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%74%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Crotone 2 - 0 - 0 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Crotone and Virtus Casarano play?

Crotone face Virtus Casarano on 26 October 2026 in Serie C Group C at Stadio Ezio Scida. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Crotone and Virtus Casarano?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crotone won 2, Virtus Casarano won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Crotone vs Virtus Casarano?

Crotone score 1.00 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.20. The Serie C Group C average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Crotone's matches and 50% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Crotone and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Crotone have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crotone vs Virtus Casarano?

The statistical background for Crotone vs Virtus Casarano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.