Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II: match statistics
Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crown Legacy played Orlando City II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 5 July 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Crown Legacy: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Orlando City II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crown Legacy scores 2.67 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Orlando City II scores 2.31 and concedes 1.81. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crown Legacy 60%, Orlando City II 88%. Over 2.5: Crown Legacy 73%, Orlando City II 88%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Orlando City II has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.75. Crown Legacy: 14.7 shots per match, Orlando City II: 16.0.
Match halves
Crown Legacy: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.20. Orlando City II: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.56.
Goals by minute
Crown Legacy: 0-15 (9 goals). Orlando City II: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crown Legacy holds a clear home advantage — in home matches they have won 86%, suffered 0% defeats and have a goal difference of +15, scoring 2.71 goals and conceding 0.57 per game. Orlando City II have better recent form over the last five matches overall (3 wins, 13 goals scored and an average of 2.0 points per game), but they concede 1.33 goals on average away and have only a 17% clean sheet rate on the road. Offensively the hosts possess greater firepower: 17 shots per game of which 5.57 are on target, with a conversion rate of 16% and xG 1.82, while the visitors register 12.67 shots, 4.67 on target and xG 1.52. Additionally, Crown Legacy have never failed to score at home (0% of matches without a goal) and have a 71% clean sheet rate at home, whereas Orlando have conceded 29 goals in the season compared to 21 for the hosts. Considering the advantage in shots, higher xG (1.82 vs 1.52) and the hosts’ superior goal tally (40 scored vs 37), I tip a home win; probabilities are 65% for Crown Legacy, 20% for a draw and 15% for Orlando City II.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Crown Legacy has a season BTTS rate of 100% and has not recorded a single clean sheet (0%), conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, indicating the home side practically always allows a goal. Orlando City II has a season BTTS of 67% and BTTS 100% in the last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.83 goals in the season (2.6 in the last 5) and conceding 1.33 seasonally (1.8 in the last 5), so the away side also regularly scores and concedes. Offensive indicators reinforce this picture: xG is 2.14 for Crown Legacy and 1.52 for Orlando (combined 3.66 xG), and season goal averages of 2.6 and 1.83 give a combined 4.43 goals per game, well above the league average of 3.25. Additionally, the hosts average 8.3 shots on target per game versus 4.67 for the visitors, and 100% of the hosts' matches and 67% of the visitors' matches finish over 2.5 goals, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering the hosts' 100% BTTS, the away side's 100% BTTS in the last 5, high scoring and conceding averages and combined xG of 3.66, I back BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of ~85% versus 15% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model forecasts a total of ~3.45 goals: xG for Crown Legacy is 2.14 while Orlando City II concede on average 1.48 xG — yielding an ~1.81 goals projection for the home side; Orlando City II’s xG is 1.52 and Crown Legacy concede 1.76 xG on average — a ~1.64 away projection, totaling 3.45. Season stats confirm a propensity for high-scoring games: Crown Legacy have 100% of matches Over 2.5 goals and 80% Over 3.5, Orlando have 67% Over 2.5 and 50% Over 3.5, and the league average is 3.25 goals per match. In the last 5 matches Crown Legacy scored 11 goals (2.2 avg), Orlando scored 13 goals (2.6 avg), and recent goals conceded averages are 1.6 for the home side and 1.8 for the away side, which further favors the Over. Over 1.5 is virtually certain (I assign 96% given 100% for the home team and 83% for the away team this season), but the best value signal is Over 2.5 (82%) because the 3.45 projection is significantly above 2.5 and the home team has 100% of matches over that line. I rate Over 3.5 at 62%: it is realistic due to the home side’s 80%, but it is less stable than Over 2.5 because the away side is only at 50%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect Crown Legacy to hold a lead at the break, as their first-half goals average is 1.0 versus Orlando’s 0.33, and the hosts average 8.3 shots on target compared with the visitors’ 4.67. In the last 5 matches Crown led at half-time in 40% of cases (2 of 5), while Orlando did not lead in any of those 5 games (0 of 5); halftime points average 1.4 for Crown versus 0.2 for Orlando. However, for Full-Time there is a pronounced turnaround in favor of the visitors: Orlando have a 67% win rate this season versus Crown’s 40%, and in the last 5 matches away teams scored an average of 2.2 second-half goals compared with 0.6 for hosts. Additionally, Crown have kept 0% clean sheets at home and their home games have seen both teams score in 100% of cases (Orlando 67%), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides and a visitor comeback after the break. For these reasons the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/2 (lead at the break for Crown, Orlando win at full-time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crown Legacy | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orlando City II is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Crown Legacy · 2 pts / match - Orlando City II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crown Legacy is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
2.67 goals / match - Crown Legacy · 2.31 goals / match - Orlando City II
Crown Legacy is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Crown Legacy · 1.81 goals / match - Orlando City II
Crown Legacy scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Orlando City II keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
Orlando City II scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Crown Legacy keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crown Legacy
Over / Under - Orlando City II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crown Legacy is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Crown Legacy · 0.81 pts / match - Orlando City II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crown Legacy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Orlando City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crown Legacy
Orlando City II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Crown Legacy | Liga | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.07 | 3.24 | ▲ 4.13 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Crown Legacy 0 - 2 - 2 Orlando City II. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Crown Legacy 1:1 Orlando City II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Crown Legacy and Orlando City II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Crown Legacy won 0, Orlando City II won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II?
Crown Legacy score 2.67 goals per game on average and Orlando City II 2.31. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Crown Legacy's matches and 88% of Orlando City II's.
What form are Crown Legacy and Orlando City II in?
Over the last 5 games Crown Legacy have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Orlando City II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.