Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of 23 July 2026

Crusaders vs Ballymena United: match statistics

Crusaders crest
Crusaders
3 : 2half-time 3:1
Ballymena United crest
Ballymena United

Crusaders vs Ballymena United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Crusaders play Ballymena United in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Crusaders: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ballymena United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Crusaders scores 1.26 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Ballymena United scores 1.21 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Crusaders 50%, Ballymena United 55%. Over 2.5: Crusaders 63%, Ballymena United 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Crusaders has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.17. Crusaders: 9.7 shots per match, Ballymena United: 9.2.

Match halves

Crusaders: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.58. Ballymena United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Crusaders: 31-45+ (11 goals). Ballymena United: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Match description

Crusaders hold a slight edge based on form and chance creation: in the last 5 matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game), while Ballymena have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (1.2 pts/game). The home side’s creation metrics are superior — on average 3.94 shots on target and 10.5 attempts per game with xG 1.33, versus 3.06 on target and 8.78 attempts and xG 1.08 for the visitors. Crusaders’ defence, however, looks weaker: they concede on average 2.00 goals per home match (79 goals conceded this season), while Ballymena concede 1.67 goals away; both teams have only an 11% clean sheet rate, so goals are likely. Additionally, Crusaders fail to score in 44% of home games versus 33% for Ballymena, indicating offensive inconsistency despite better creation. Considering the higher xG and superior recent form of the hosts, but with clear defensive issues, I give a narrow edge to Crusaders and expect an open, high-scoring match.

Half-by-half

3 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
CrusadersBallymena United
13Shots19
CrusadersBallymena United
6Shots on target3
CrusadersBallymena United
1.65xG1.89
CrusadersBallymena United
2Corners8
CrusadersBallymena United
55Dangerous attacks67
CrusadersBallymena United
12Fouls15
CrusadersBallymena United
0Cards3
CrusadersBallymena United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CrusadersBallymena United
1.26Goals scored / match1.21
CrusadersBallymena United
2.13Goals conceded / match1.53
CrusadersBallymena United
48%Average possession47%
CrusadersBallymena United
3.45Shots on target / match3.18
CrusadersBallymena United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.68Shots per match9.24
CrusadersBallymena United
3.45Shots on target3.18
CrusadersBallymena United
13%Shot conversion13.1%
CrusadersBallymena United
48%Possession47%
CrusadersBallymena United
1.25xG for1.17
CrusadersBallymena United
1.89xG against1.45
CrusadersBallymena United

Shooting quality

Crusaders: Efficient finishingBallymena United: Counter-attacking
CrusadersBallymena United
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Crusaders is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Crusaders · 1 pts / match - Ballymena United

Crusaders
LDWWW
Season result split
26% W16% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-22
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-11
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ballymena United
DWDLL
Season result split
26% W24% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-19
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-12
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ballymena United is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.13 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.53 goals / match - Ballymena United

Crusaders scoring profile: very strong

Crusaders scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

Ballymena United scoring profile: very strong

Ballymena United scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

48Goals scored (season)46
CrusadersBallymena United
81Goals conceded (season)58
CrusadersBallymena United
3.39Average goals in match2.74
CrusadersBallymena United
10Goals scored (last 5)7
CrusadersBallymena United
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
CrusadersBallymena United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal71%
CrusadersBallymena United
42%2 goals39%
CrusadersBallymena United
16%3 goals8%
CrusadersBallymena United
5%4 goals3%
CrusadersBallymena United

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal82%
CrusadersBallymena United
58%2 goals61%
CrusadersBallymena United
32%3 goals11%
CrusadersBallymena United
26%4 goals0%
CrusadersBallymena United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Ballymena United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 38 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time24%
CrusadersBallymena United
5%BTTS in both halves8%
CrusadersBallymena United
29%Scored in both halves29%
CrusadersBallymena United

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
CrusadersBallymena United
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
CrusadersBallymena United
60%BTTS - last 580%
CrusadersBallymena United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
CrusadersBallymena United
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
CrusadersBallymena United
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
CrusadersBallymena United

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
CrusadersBallymena United
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
CrusadersBallymena United
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CrusadersBallymena United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Crusaders is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Crusaders · 0.95 pts / match - Ballymena United

Crusaders - half-time state
32% leading18% draw50% trailing
Ballymena United - half-time state
18% leading39% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)0.95
CrusadersBallymena United
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.45
CrusadersBallymena United
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.84
CrusadersBallymena United
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.29
CrusadersBallymena United
39%Clean sheet before half-time39%
CrusadersBallymena United
58%No goal before half-time58%
CrusadersBallymena United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.37
CrusadersBallymena United
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
CrusadersBallymena United
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
CrusadersBallymena United
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.45
CrusadersBallymena United
34%Clean sheet after half-time45%
CrusadersBallymena United
50%No goal after half-time42%
CrusadersBallymena United

Crusaders - second-half results

26% W29% R45% P
43
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ballymena United - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
36
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Crusaders - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Ballymena United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Crusaders
ScoredConceded
7
8
0-15
8
6
16-30
11
18
31-45
9
14
46-60
6
11
61-75
7
24
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.

Ballymena United
ScoredConceded
5
13
0-15
4
8
16-30
8
11
31-45
8
7
46-60
13
5
61-75
8
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Crusaders

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Ballymena United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

CrusadersLigaBallymena United
Average goals in match 3.392.94 2.74
Both teams scored 50%52% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%56% 47%
Clean sheets 16%26% 18%
Goal before half-time 82%76% 79%
Goal after half-time 87%80% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Crusaders 0 - 2 - 1 Ballymena United. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Crusaders vs Ballymena United?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 3:2 Ballymena United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Ballymena United?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0, Ballymena United won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Ballymena United?

Crusaders score 1.26 goals per game on average and Ballymena United 1.21. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Crusaders's matches and 55% of Ballymena United's.

What form are Crusaders and Ballymena United in?

Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ballymena United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Ballymena United?

The statistical background for Crusaders vs Ballymena United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.