Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Crusaders play Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 30 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Crusaders: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Crusaders scores 1.26 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Crusaders 50%, Carrick Rangers 67%. Over 2.5: Crusaders 63%, Carrick Rangers 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.25. Crusaders: 9.7 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.7.

Match halves

Crusaders: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.58. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Crusaders: 31-45+ (11 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 5.67, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
9Shots20
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
4Shots on target8
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.33xG2.59
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3Corners5
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
66Dangerous attacks108
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
10Fouls16
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
4Cards0
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.26Goals scored / match1.67
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
2.13Goals conceded / match1.56
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
48%Average possession44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3.45Shots on target / match4.1
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.68Shots per match9.72
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3.45Shots on target4.1
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
13%Shot conversion17.2%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
48%Possession44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.25xG for1.32
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.89xG against1.44
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Crusaders: Efficient finishingCarrick Rangers: Counter-attacking
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)36%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Crusaders is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Crusaders · 1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Crusaders
LDWWW
Season result split
26% W16% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-22
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-11
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Carrick Rangers
DLWWL
Season result split
38% W21% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-16
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-4-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrick Rangers is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.26 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.67 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Carrick Rangers is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.13 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Crusaders scoring profile: strong

Crusaders scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

48Goals scored (season)65
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
81Goals conceded (season)61
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3.39Average goals in match3.23
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
10Goals scored (last 5)10
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal85%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
42%2 goals38%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
16%3 goals26%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
5%4 goals10%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal79%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
58%2 goals49%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
32%3 goals18%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
26%4 goals3%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time33%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
5%BTTS in both halves8%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
29%Scored in both halves23%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
60%BTTS - last 580%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time51%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrick Rangers is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Crusaders · 1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Crusaders - half-time state
32% leading18% draw50% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
36% leading38% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.46
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.97
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.67
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
39%Clean sheet before half-time44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
58%No goal before half-time41%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.1
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.56
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
34%Clean sheet after half-time44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
50%No goal after half-time51%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Crusaders - second-half results

26% W29% R45% P
43
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

26% W33% R41% P
57
Half-time points
38
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Crusaders - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Crusaders
ScoredConceded
7
8
0-15
8
6
16-30
11
18
31-45
9
14
46-60
6
11
61-75
7
24
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
6
10
0-15
9
7
16-30
23
10
31-45
6
9
46-60
10
10
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Crusaders

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

CrusadersLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals in match 3.392.94 3.23
Both teams scored 50%52% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%56% 62%
Clean sheets 16%26% 21%
Goal before half-time 82%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 87%80% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Crusaders 1 - 0 - 2 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 5.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Carrick Rangers FC
6 : 1
Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers FC
1 : 2
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
3 : 4
Carrick Rangers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 2:2 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 1, Carrick Rangers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers?

Crusaders score 1.26 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.67. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Crusaders's matches and 67% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Crusaders and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers?

The statistical background for Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.