Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts display decidedly superior form, backed by recent results: 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 fixtures (2.6 points per game), whereas Crusaders have managed just 1 win and suffered 3 defeats (0.8 points per game). The hosts languish in 10th place with a catastrophic home record, featuring a 70% loss rate on their own turf and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game while scoring just 1.2. Sitting in 4th position, Dungannon Swifts demonstrate solidity on the road with a 45% away win rate and 36% clean sheets, conceding an average of just 1.55 goals. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.23 xG For vs 1.21 xG For the hosts), and their 5-match unbeaten run provides a psychological edge. Considering all metrics, Dungannon Swifts are the clear favorites for this encounter.
Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crusaders played Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Crusaders: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Dungannon Swifts: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crusaders scores 1.27 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.32 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crusaders 50%, Dungannon Swifts 36%. Over 2.5: Crusaders 68%, Dungannon Swifts 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Dungannon Swifts has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.20. Crusaders: 9.9 shots per match, Dungannon Swifts: 10.8.
Match halves
Crusaders: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.59. Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Crusaders: 31-45+ (6 goals). Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dungannon Swifts display decidedly superior form, backed by recent results: 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 fixtures (2.6 points per game), whereas Crusaders have managed just 1 win and suffered 3 defeats (0.8 points per game). The hosts languish in 10th place with a catastrophic home record, featuring a 70% loss rate on their own turf and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game while scoring just 1.2. Sitting in 4th position, Dungannon Swifts demonstrate solidity on the road with a 45% away win rate and 36% clean sheets, conceding an average of just 1.55 goals. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.23 xG For vs 1.21 xG For the hosts), and their 5-match unbeaten run provides a psychological edge. Considering all metrics, Dungannon Swifts are the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crusaders | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dungannon Swifts is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Crusaders · 2.6 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dungannon Swifts is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.45 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Crusaders scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crusaders
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dungannon Swifts is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Crusaders · 1.36 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crusaders - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crusaders
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Crusaders | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.70 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Crusaders 1 - 0 - 1 Dungannon Swifts. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 2:0 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 1, Dungannon Swifts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts?
Crusaders score 1.27 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.32. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Crusaders's matches and 36% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts?
The statistical background for Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.