Crusaders vs Glenavon: match statistics
Crusaders, despite a poor position in the table and a mere 13% home win rate, hold an edge over Glenavon in this direct clash. The visitors present a disastrous away form with an 88% loss rate and zero percent clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.31 goals per match. Glenavon has not recorded a single victory in their last 16 away matches, confirmed by their 'llllllllllllllwd' streak. Although Crusaders have lost 4 of their last 5 games, their xG advantage (1.21 vs 1.17) and better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) give them a realistic chance to bounce back. The goal difference for both teams is negative, but Glenavon's dramatic away form (-24 goal difference) advocates for a narrow home victory.
Crusaders vs Glenavon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crusaders played Glenavon in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Crusaders: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Glenavon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crusaders scores 1.23 and concedes 2.23 goals per match. Glenavon scores 0.97 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crusaders 52%, Glenavon 52%. Over 2.5: Crusaders 65%, Glenavon 61%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Crusaders has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.17. Crusaders: 9.4 shots per match, Glenavon: 8.8.
Match halves
Crusaders: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.61. Glenavon: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Crusaders: 31-45+ (9 goals). Glenavon: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crusaders, despite a poor position in the table and a mere 13% home win rate, hold an edge over Glenavon in this direct clash. The visitors present a disastrous away form with an 88% loss rate and zero percent clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.31 goals per match. Glenavon has not recorded a single victory in their last 16 away matches, confirmed by their 'llllllllllllllwd' streak. Although Crusaders have lost 4 of their last 5 games, their xG advantage (1.21 vs 1.17) and better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) give them a realistic chance to bounce back. The goal difference for both teams is negative, but Glenavon's dramatic away form (-24 goal difference) advocates for a narrow home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crusaders | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Glenavon is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Crusaders · 1.4 pts / match - Glenavon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crusaders is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Crusaders · 0.97 goals / match - Glenavon
Glenavon is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.23 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.94 goals / match - Glenavon
Crusaders scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 matches).
Glenavon scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crusaders
Over / Under - Glenavon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crusaders is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Crusaders · 0.77 pts / match - Glenavon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crusaders - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crusaders
Glenavon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Crusaders | Liga | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 2.88 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 51% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Crusaders 2 - 0 - 0 Glenavon. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crusaders vs Glenavon?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 0:3 Glenavon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Glenavon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 2, Glenavon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Glenavon?
Crusaders score 1.23 goals per game on average and Glenavon 0.97. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Crusaders's matches and 52% of Glenavon's.
What form are Crusaders and Glenavon in?
Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Glenavon 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Glenavon?
The statistical background for Crusaders vs Glenavon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.