Crusaders vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Crusaders played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Crusaders: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Larne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Crusaders scores 1.26 and concedes 2.11 goals per match. Larne scores 1.72 and concedes 0.44. League average: 2.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Crusaders 47%, Larne 28%. Over 2.5: Crusaders 68%, Larne 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.20. Crusaders: 10.2 shots per match, Larne: 12.8.

Match halves

Crusaders: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.58. Larne: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Crusaders: 31-45+ (6 goals). Larne: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
CrusadersLarne
7Shots9
CrusadersLarne
4Shots on target5
CrusadersLarne
1.11xG1.22
CrusadersLarne
6Corners2
CrusadersLarne
52Dangerous attacks41
CrusadersLarne
-1Fouls-1
CrusadersLarne
4Cards2
CrusadersLarne

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.26Goals scored / match1.72
CrusadersLarne
2.11Goals conceded / match0.44
CrusadersLarne
52%Average possession54%
CrusadersLarne
3.37Shots on target / match4.56
CrusadersLarne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.16Shots per match12.78
CrusadersLarne
3.37Shots on target4.56
CrusadersLarne
12.4%Shot conversion13.5%
CrusadersLarne
52%Possession54%
CrusadersLarne
1.2xG for1.59
CrusadersLarne
1.91xG against0.98
CrusadersLarne

Shooting quality

Crusaders: BalancedLarne: Efficient finishing
CrusadersLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 1200% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Crusaders · 2.6 pts / match - Larne

Crusaders
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W11% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-12
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 2.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Larne
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
72% W17% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-3-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.26 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.72 goals / match - Larne

Larne is 380% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.11 goals / match - Crusaders · 0.44 goals / match - Larne

Crusaders scoring profile: more difficult

Crusaders scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 matches).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).

24Goals scored (season)31
CrusadersLarne
40Goals conceded (season)8
CrusadersLarne
3.37Average goals in match2.17
CrusadersLarne
2Goals scored (last 5)7
CrusadersLarne
13Goals conceded (last 5)3
CrusadersLarne

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal83%
CrusadersLarne
42%2 goals61%
CrusadersLarne
21%3 goals17%
CrusadersLarne
5%4 goals11%
CrusadersLarne

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal39%
CrusadersLarne
63%2 goals6%
CrusadersLarne
32%3 goals0%
CrusadersLarne
26%4 goals0%
CrusadersLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time6%
CrusadersLarne
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CrusadersLarne
26%Scored in both halves28%
CrusadersLarne

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
CrusadersLarne
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CrusadersLarne
20%BTTS - last 560%
CrusadersLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CrusadersLarne
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CrusadersLarne
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CrusadersLarne

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
CrusadersLarne
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
CrusadersLarne
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CrusadersLarne

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Crusaders · 1.72 pts / match - Larne

Crusaders - half-time state
37% leading11% draw53% trailing
Larne - half-time state
44% leading39% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.72
CrusadersLarne
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.72
CrusadersLarne
0.95Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
CrusadersLarne
1.63Average goals (1st half)1
CrusadersLarne
32%Clean sheet before half-time78%
CrusadersLarne
63%No goal before half-time50%
CrusadersLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.06
CrusadersLarne
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)1
CrusadersLarne
1.16Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
CrusadersLarne
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.17
CrusadersLarne
26%Clean sheet after half-time83%
CrusadersLarne
53%No goal after half-time39%
CrusadersLarne

Crusaders - second-half results

21% W37% D42% L
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding70%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - second-half results

61% W22% D17% L
31
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Crusaders - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-4-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Crusaders
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
11
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
3
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
8
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Crusaders

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
30%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

CrusadersLigaLarne
Average goals in match 3.372.76 2.17
Both teams scored 47%48% 28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%53% 33%
Clean sheets 11%27% 61%
Goal before half-time 89%76% 67%
Goal after half-time 89%79% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.76
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LarneSubstitutionOn: Kobei MooreOff: Benjamin Magee
  2. LarneSubstitutionOn: Ryan Patrick NolanOff: Matthew Lusty
  3. LarneSubstitutionOn: Mikey HarkinOff: Paul O'Neill

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Crusaders 0 - 0 - 1 Larne. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Larne FC
4 : 0
Crusaders FC

FAQ

What was the result of Crusaders vs Larne?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 0:1 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Larne?

Crusaders score 1.26 goals per game on average and Larne 1.72. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Crusaders's matches and 28% of Larne's.

What form are Crusaders and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Larne?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.