Cruz Azul vs Puebla: match statistics
Cruz Azul demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 67% win rate and an impressive +11 goal difference. The hosts average 2.08 goals scored per game at home while conceding only 1.17, and their xG (2.05) significantly exceeds their xG Against (0.94), confirming their dominance. Puebla performs very poorly in away matches – only a 10% win rate, as many as 70% losses, and a catastrophic -14 goal difference. The visitors concede an average of 2.4 goals on the road and fail to score in 40% of matches, which, given Cruz Azul's solid defense (33% clean sheets), significantly diminishes their chances. The form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced (Cruz Azul 1.0 PPG, Puebla 1.4 PPG); however, the hosts' home statistics and Puebla's catastrophic away results clearly point to a Cruz Azul victory.
Cruz Azul vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cruz Azul played Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Cruz Azul: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Puebla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cruz Azul scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Puebla scores 1.21 and concedes 2.32. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cruz Azul 65%, Puebla 58%. Over 2.5: Cruz Azul 52%, Puebla 68%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cruz Azul has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.37. Cruz Azul: 16.8 shots per match, Puebla: 12.3.
Match halves
Cruz Azul: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.04. Puebla: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Cruz Azul: 76-90+ (13 goals). Puebla: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruz Azul demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 67% win rate and an impressive +11 goal difference. The hosts average 2.08 goals scored per game at home while conceding only 1.17, and their xG (2.05) significantly exceeds their xG Against (0.94), confirming their dominance. Puebla performs very poorly in away matches – only a 10% win rate, as many as 70% losses, and a catastrophic -14 goal difference. The visitors concede an average of 2.4 goals on the road and fail to score in 40% of matches, which, given Cruz Azul's solid defense (33% clean sheets), significantly diminishes their chances. The form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced (Cruz Azul 1.0 PPG, Puebla 1.4 PPG); however, the hosts' home statistics and Puebla's catastrophic away results clearly point to a Cruz Azul victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cruz Azul | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruz Azul is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cruz Azul · 1.4 pts / match - Puebla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruz Azul is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Cruz Azul · 1.21 goals / match - Puebla
Cruz Azul is 105% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Cruz Azul · 2.32 goals / match - Puebla
Cruz Azul scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Puebla scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruz Azul
Over / Under - Puebla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cruz Azul is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Cruz Azul · 0.74 pts / match - Puebla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cruz Azul
Puebla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Cruz Azul | Liga | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.87 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 57% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cruz Azul 1 - 0 - 0 Puebla. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
The Liga MX match finished Cruz Azul 1:0 Puebla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Cruz Azul score 1.74 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.21. The Liga MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Cruz Azul's matches and 58% of Puebla's.
What form are Cruz Azul and Puebla in?
Over the last 5 games Cruz Azul have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Puebla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.