Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM: match statistics
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cruz Azul played Pumas UNAM in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 22 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Cruz Azul: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Pumas UNAM: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cruz Azul scores 1.81 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Pumas UNAM scores 1.69 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cruz Azul 71%, Pumas UNAM 64%. Over 2.5: Cruz Azul 55%, Pumas UNAM 49%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Cruz Azul has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.30. Cruz Azul: 16.9 shots per match, Pumas UNAM: 11.9.
Match halves
Cruz Azul: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02. Pumas UNAM: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Cruz Azul: 76-90+ (21 goals). Pumas UNAM: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruz Azul is the favorite: they have scored 76 and conceded 47 goals this season, and at home win 67% of matches while averaging 2.0 goals per game. Pumas have scored 66 and conceded 52 this season; away they win 40% of matches and average 1.6 goals per game. The difference in chance creation is clear — Cruz Azul averages 18.76 shots (6.38 on target) at home versus Pumas’ 10.65 (3.5 on target) away; although Pumas have a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%), the hosts generate more high-quality chances and a higher xG (2.01 vs 1.18). Defensively Cruz Azul concede 1.05 goals per game at home with xG against 1.0, while Pumas concede 1.5 goals away with xG against 1.75, which gives a qualitative advantage to the hosts. In the last 5 matches Cruz Azul scored 12 goals and average 2.6 points per game, while Pumas scored 9 goals and average 1.6 points; a higher clean sheet rate for the hosts (33% vs 25%) and a lower rate of scoreless matches (5% vs 10%) leads me to back a Cruz Azul win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high seasonal BTTS rates: Cruz Azul 63% and Pumas 65%, both above the league level of 59%, which is a strong signal for the 'Both Teams To Score' market. Cruz's last 5 matches show BTTS 80% with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Pumas in the last 5 have BTTS 40% with an average of 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, so in the short term the home side creates more goals. From an xG perspective the sum xG_for 1.43 (Cruz) + 1.18 (Pumas) = 2.61, and Pumas’ defense allows xG_against of 1.75, which increases the probability of Cruz scoring. Cruz averages 4.32 shots on target versus 3.5 for Pumas, and the seasonal combinations of 'over 2.5 goals and BTTS' are 42% (Cruz) and 45% (Pumas), indicating these teams’ matches often combine mutual goal activity. Considering the seasonal rates 63/65%, recent form (Cruz 80% in L5) and the combined xG 2.61, I tip BTTS = Yes with a probability of 70% versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and form indicates a total expected goals of 2.92 (Cruz Azul 1.59, Pumas 1.33). Over the season Cruz Azul averages 1.79 goals and has xG 1.43, Pumas records 1.60 goals and xG 1.18, while Pumas concedes xG 1.75, which increases the hosts’ scoring opportunities. The percentage of matches where both teams scored is 63% for Cruz and 65% for Pumas, and Over 1.5 occurred in 74% of Cruz matches and 85% of Pumas matches. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.92 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈79%, Over 2.5 ≈56% and Over 3.5 ≈33%. Therefore I recommend the Over 1.5 bet as the strongest signal — 79% probability, supported by xG 1.59/1.33 and high both-teams-to-score rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/1 (Pumas lead at the break, Cruz Azul win Full-Time). Pumas lead at the break in 50% of their away matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 50%), while Cruz Azul lead at Half-Time in only 26% of home games, which signals a guest lead before the break. After the break, however, the home side has a clear advantage: Cruz Azul average 0.89 goals after Half-Time this season (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.89) and 1.6 goals in the last 5 matches (last5_scored_2hg_avg_overall_home = 1.6) versus 0.65 (scored_2hg_avg_away = 0.65) and 0.4 for Pumas. Additionally, Cruz Azul generate higher quality chances (xG 1.43 versus 1.18 for Pumas and 13.21 shots per match versus 10.65), and in the last 5 fixtures the home team have an 80% win rate compared to 40% for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround. For these reasons the scenario in which the visitors lead at Half-Time but the hosts win Full-Time is assessed as the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cruz Azul | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruz Azul is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Cruz Azul · 1.6 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruz Azul is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Cruz Azul · 1.69 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Cruz Azul · 1.33 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul scores in 93% of matches (39 of 42 matches), while Pumas UNAM keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 39 matches).
Pumas UNAM scores in 90% of matches (35 of 39 matches), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 26% (11 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruz Azul
Over / Under - Pumas UNAM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pumas UNAM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Cruz Azul | Liga | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.93 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Pumas UNAMSubstitutionOn: Adalberto Eliécer Carrasquilla AlcázarOff: Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cruz Azul 0 - 1 - 1 Pumas UNAM. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
The Liga MX match finished Cruz Azul 0:0 Pumas UNAM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruz Azul and Pumas UNAM?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul won 0, Pumas UNAM won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
Cruz Azul score 1.81 goals per game on average and Pumas UNAM 1.69. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Cruz Azul's matches and 64% of Pumas UNAM's.
What form are Cruz Azul and Pumas UNAM in?
Over the last 5 games Cruz Azul have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Pumas UNAM 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.