Brazil - Serie AEstádio Governador Magalhães PintoData current as of 03 November 2026

Cruzeiro vs Bahia: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cruzeiro vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cruzeiro play Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 6 November 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto.

Current form

Cruzeiro: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Bahia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cruzeiro scores 1.58 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.45 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cruzeiro 67%, Bahia 64%. Over 2.5: Cruzeiro 64%, Bahia 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.55. Cruzeiro: 15.0 shots per match, Bahia: 14.2.

Match halves

Cruzeiro: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.94. Bahia: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Cruzeiro: 76-90+ (14 goals). Bahia: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.88)
(3.92)
(3.92)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.58Goals scored / match1.45
CruzeiroBahia
1.39Goals conceded / match1.27
CruzeiroBahia
55%Average possession53%
CruzeiroBahia
5.33Shots on target / match4.61
CruzeiroBahia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.97Shots per match14.24
CruzeiroBahia
5.33Shots on target4.61
CruzeiroBahia
10.5%Shot conversion10.2%
CruzeiroBahia
55%Possession53%
CruzeiroBahia
1.66xG for1.55
CruzeiroBahia
1.47xG against1.65
CruzeiroBahia

Shooting quality

Cruzeiro: DominantBahia: Attacking
CruzeiroBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cruzeiro is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 1.4 pts / match - Bahia

Cruzeiro
WLWWW
Season result split
52% W18% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-6-10
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Bahia
LWLDW
Season result split
42% W33% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-8
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 2.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cruzeiro is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.45 goals / match - Bahia

Bahia is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.39 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.27 goals / match - Bahia

Cruzeiro scoring profile: very strong

Cruzeiro scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).

52Goals scored (season)48
CruzeiroBahia
46Goals conceded (season)42
CruzeiroBahia
2.97Average goals in match2.73
CruzeiroBahia
10Goals scored (last 5)5
CruzeiroBahia
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
CruzeiroBahia

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal85%
CruzeiroBahia
48%2 goals45%
CruzeiroBahia
18%3 goals15%
CruzeiroBahia
3%4 goals0%
CruzeiroBahia

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal73%
CruzeiroBahia
36%2 goals39%
CruzeiroBahia
18%3 goals12%
CruzeiroBahia
9%4 goals3%
CruzeiroBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time30%
CruzeiroBahia
6%BTTS in both halves3%
CruzeiroBahia
36%Scored in both halves18%
CruzeiroBahia

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
CruzeiroBahia
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
CruzeiroBahia
40%BTTS - last 540%
CruzeiroBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
CruzeiroBahia
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
CruzeiroBahia
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
CruzeiroBahia

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
CruzeiroBahia
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
CruzeiroBahia
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
CruzeiroBahia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 1.45 pts / match - Bahia

Cruzeiro - half-time state
30% leading33% draw36% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.45
CruzeiroBahia
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.85
CruzeiroBahia
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
CruzeiroBahia
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.52
CruzeiroBahia
42%Clean sheet before half-time42%
CruzeiroBahia
42%No goal before half-time42%
CruzeiroBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.33
CruzeiroBahia
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
CruzeiroBahia
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
CruzeiroBahia
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.21
CruzeiroBahia
61%Clean sheet after half-time61%
CruzeiroBahia
33%No goal after half-time55%
CruzeiroBahia

Cruzeiro - second-half results

39% W39% D21% L
41
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding173%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahia - second-half results

30% W42% D27% L
48
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cruzeiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cruzeiro
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
6
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
8
7
46-60
9
2
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
15
9
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
8
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cruzeiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

CruzeiroLigaBahia
Average goals in match▲ 2.972.66• 2.73
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%51%• 52%
Clean sheets• 24%23%▲ 27%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%75%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time• 79%78%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Cruzeiro 3 - 0 - 0 Bahia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Bahia
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
EC Bahia
1 : 2
Cruzeiro EC
Cruzeiro EC
3 : 0
EC Bahia

FAQ

When do Cruzeiro and Bahia play?

Cruzeiro face Bahia on 6 November 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Bahia?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 3, Bahia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Cruzeiro score 1.58 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.45. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cruzeiro's matches and 64% of Bahia's.

What form are Cruzeiro and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Bahia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cruzeiro vs Bahia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.