Brazil - Serie AEstádio Governador Magalhães PintoData current as of 23 July 2026

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cruzeiro play Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto.

Current form

Cruzeiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cruzeiro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cruzeiro 67%, Botafogo 83%. Over 2.5: Cruzeiro 61%, Botafogo 83%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.43. Cruzeiro: 14.2 shots per match, Botafogo: 12.6.

Match halves

Cruzeiro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67. Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

Cruzeiro: 31-45+ (5 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.88)
(3.62)
(4.27)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match1.83
CruzeiroBotafogo
1.56Goals conceded / match1.78
CruzeiroBotafogo
56%Average possession48%
CruzeiroBotafogo
4.72Shots on target / match5.11
CruzeiroBotafogo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.17Shots per match12.61
CruzeiroBotafogo
4.72Shots on target5.11
CruzeiroBotafogo
9.4%Shot conversion14.5%
CruzeiroBotafogo
56%Possession48%
CruzeiroBotafogo
1.55xG for1.43
CruzeiroBotafogo
1.18xG against1.76
CruzeiroBotafogo

Shooting quality

Cruzeiro: DominantBotafogo: Efficient finishing
CruzeiroBotafogo
Accuracy (shots on target)33%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cruzeiro
LWDWD
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-6
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Botafogo
DWDLW
Season result split
39% W22% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-7
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.83 goals / match - Botafogo

Cruzeiro is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.78 goals / match - Botafogo

Cruzeiro scoring profile: very strong

Cruzeiro scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

Botafogo scoring profile: very strong

Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).

24Goals scored (season)33
CruzeiroBotafogo
28Goals conceded (season)32
CruzeiroBotafogo
2.89Average goals in match3.61
CruzeiroBotafogo
7Goals scored (last 5)8
CruzeiroBotafogo
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
CruzeiroBotafogo

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal89%
CruzeiroBotafogo
39%2 goals56%
CruzeiroBotafogo
11%3 goals28%
CruzeiroBotafogo
0%4 goals11%
CruzeiroBotafogo

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal94%
CruzeiroBotafogo
44%2 goals50%
CruzeiroBotafogo
22%3 goals17%
CruzeiroBotafogo
11%4 goals11%
CruzeiroBotafogo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time33%
CruzeiroBotafogo
6%BTTS in both halves11%
CruzeiroBotafogo
28%Scored in both halves33%
CruzeiroBotafogo

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS72%
CruzeiroBotafogo
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CruzeiroBotafogo
100%BTTS - last 5100%
CruzeiroBotafogo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
CruzeiroBotafogo
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
CruzeiroBotafogo
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
CruzeiroBotafogo

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
CruzeiroBotafogo
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
CruzeiroBotafogo
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
CruzeiroBotafogo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 1.44 pts / match - Botafogo

Cruzeiro - half-time state
28% leading44% draw28% trailing
Botafogo - half-time state
39% leading28% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)1.44
CruzeiroBotafogo
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.78
CruzeiroBotafogo
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
CruzeiroBotafogo
1.39Average goals (1st half)1.5
CruzeiroBotafogo
44%Clean sheet before half-time39%
CruzeiroBotafogo
44%No goal before half-time50%
CruzeiroBotafogo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.56
CruzeiroBotafogo
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
CruzeiroBotafogo
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
CruzeiroBotafogo
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.11
CruzeiroBotafogo
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
CruzeiroBotafogo
44%No goal after half-time28%
CruzeiroBotafogo

Cruzeiro - second-half results

28% W39% R33% P
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo - second-half results

44% W22% R33% P
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cruzeiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cruzeiro
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
4
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
4
10
46-60
5
3
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cruzeiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

CruzeiroLigaBotafogo
Average goals in match 2.892.64 3.61
Both teams scored 67%58% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%50% 83%
Clean sheets 22%23% 6%
Goal before half-time 83%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 78%78% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Cruzeiro 1 - 1 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Cruzeiro and Botafogo play?

Cruzeiro face Botafogo on 26 July 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Botafogo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1, Botafogo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?

Cruzeiro score 1.33 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.83. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cruzeiro's matches and 83% of Botafogo's.

What form are Cruzeiro and Botafogo in?

Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Botafogo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.