Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: match statistics
Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cruzeiro played São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Cruzeiro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. São Paulo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cruzeiro scores 1.50 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.18 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cruzeiro 71%, São Paulo 57%. Over 2.5: Cruzeiro 68%, São Paulo 39%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.47. Cruzeiro: 14.5 shots per match, São Paulo: 13.2.
Match halves
Cruzeiro: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.93. São Paulo: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cruzeiro: 76-90+ (12 goals). São Paulo: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruzeiro win 50% of their home matches, while São Paulo win only 14% of their away games and lose as many as 64%. The hosts average 1.71 goals at home against an xG of 1.72, while the visitors score just 0.79 goals away from home against an xG of 1.28. The difference in attacking efficiency is reflected in their last five matches: Cruzeiro have scored 9 goals, compared with just 3 for São Paulo. However, the hosts’ advantage is not clear-cut, as they won 2 and lost 3 of those games, conceding 9 goals in total. Despite this inconsistency, São Paulo’s poor away form and their average of 1.43 goals conceded on the road point to a Cruzeiro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 57% of their matches, while Cruzeiro have recorded BTTS in each of their last 5 games. The hosts average 1.57 goals at home and have an xG of 1.65, while São Paulo concede an average of 1.43 goals away from home, making a Cruzeiro goal likely. The visitors’ goal is less certain: they average 0.79 goals away and have failed to score in 36% of their matches. However, Cruzeiro have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last 5 games, allowing opponents chances worth a combined xG of 2.48 per match, which supports the possibility of São Paulo scoring. I therefore expect both teams to score, although São Paulo’s weaker attacking output makes this a narrow edge rather than a strong one.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 86% of Cruzeiro matches and 93% of São Paulo matches. The hosts average 1.57 goals, while the visitors average 0.79, making a total-goals projection of 2.48 more consistent with a scoreline below this line. In addition, São Paulo failed to score in 36% of matches, while Cruzeiro kept a clean sheet in 36%, making the visitors’ contribution to a high-scoring game uncertain. Cruzeiro’s recent form adds risk: each of their last 5 matches featured at least 3 goals, but this happened only once in São Paulo’s last 5 matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Cruzeiro leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 8 of 14 matches, while São Paulo were trailing at that stage in 7 of 14. In the first half, Cruzeiro average 0.79 goals scored and 0.14 conceded, compared with 0.21 scored and 0.64 conceded by the visitors. The advantage carries through to full-time: the hosts have won 57% of their matches and average 1.57 goals scored, while São Paulo have lost 64% and average 0.79 goals scored. Confidence in this prediction is tempered by Cruzeiro’s recent form—they led at the break only once in their last five matches—so a half-time draw followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cruzeiro | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruzeiro is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.18 goals / match - São Paulo
São Paulo is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.14 goals / match - São Paulo
Cruzeiro scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
São Paulo scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
Over / Under - São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
São Paulo is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 1.43 pts / match - São Paulo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cruzeiro | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cruzeiro 1 - 1 - 1 São Paulo. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Cruzeiro 2:0 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and São Paulo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1, São Paulo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?
Cruzeiro score 1.50 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.18. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Cruzeiro's matches and 57% of São Paulo's.
What form are Cruzeiro and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and São Paulo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.