Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Cruzeiro is showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game and recording a three-game winning streak during this period, whereas Vasco da Gama sits at just 1 point per game. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in xG statistics - Cruzeiro generates 1.49 xG per home game while conceding 0.76, demonstrating solid offensive and defensive play. Vasco da Gama has a disastrous away record with a 100% loss rate and concedes an average of 2 goals per game, which, combined with a lack of clean sheets, makes them highly vulnerable. Although Cruzeiro has not yet won a home game this season, their recent form and xG stats suggest they are capable of breaking this streak. A high possession rate (58%) and better chance conversion from the hosts further support the prediction of their victory, although Cruzeiro's poor home efficiency justifies leaving a relatively high probability for a draw.
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cruzeiro played Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Cruzeiro: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cruzeiro scores 0.80 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.00 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cruzeiro 60%, Vasco da Gama 80%. Over 2.5: Cruzeiro 60%, Vasco da Gama 60%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.41. Cruzeiro: 13.8 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 20.4.
Match halves
Cruzeiro: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Cruzeiro: 16-30 (2 goals). Vasco da Gama: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruzeiro is showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game and recording a three-game winning streak during this period, whereas Vasco da Gama sits at just 1 point per game. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in xG statistics - Cruzeiro generates 1.49 xG per home game while conceding 0.76, demonstrating solid offensive and defensive play. Vasco da Gama has a disastrous away record with a 100% loss rate and concedes an average of 2 goals per game, which, combined with a lack of clean sheets, makes them highly vulnerable. Although Cruzeiro has not yet won a home game this season, their recent form and xG stats suggest they are capable of breaking this streak. A high possession rate (58%) and better chance conversion from the hosts further support the prediction of their victory, although Cruzeiro's poor home efficiency justifies leaving a relatively high probability for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cruzeiro | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vasco da Gama is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 0.8 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vasco da Gama is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.4 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cruzeiro is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cruzeiro
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cruzeiro | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cruzeiro 1 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Cruzeiro 3:3 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro score 0.80 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Cruzeiro's matches and 80% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.