CS Constantine vs ASO Chlef: match statistics

Both teams opened the season with draws: CS Constantine played out a 1:1 draw, while ASO Chlef drew 3:3, indicating a similar yet still unsettled level. In their last five matches, Constantine have scored 9 goals but conceded as many as 14 and remain without a win, recording 2 draws and 3 defeats. ASO Chlef have performed slightly better in terms of points, winning 1 match and drawing 1 during this period, although their attack has scored just 5 goals. The hosts hold a 9–5 advantage in goals scored over the last five matches, but Constantine’s defensive frailties could offset the home advantage. A draw therefore appears to be the most likely outcome, although a both-teams-to-score result remains a realistic scenario.

CS Constantine has a very clear profile of matches in which both teams score: BTTS occurred in 100% of their matches this season and in 100% of their last five games. The hosts scored an average of 1.8 goals in this run but conceded as many as 2.8, while their opponents created chances worth an average of 1.51 xG. ASO Chlef has a lower BTTS rate in its last five matches, at 40%; however, the team scored an average of 1.0 goal, and the opponents’ defence is currently clearly vulnerable. The visitors have also allowed opponents 1.75 xG per match, while Constantine generates 1.24 xG, further strengthening the hosts’ chances of scoring. Although the league-wide BTTS average is only 33%, Constantine’s defensive weakness and the attacking potential of both teams in their recent form slightly favour the “BTTS - Yes” option.

CS Constantine’s last five matches produced an average of 4.6 goals, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding as many as 2.8 goals per game. ASO Chlef, however, has a clearly more controlled profile: over the same period, its matches averaged 2.6 goals, with 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Neither side lacks attacking potential, as reflected by xG figures of 1.24 for the hosts and 1.18 for the visitors, but the league average is only 2.0 goals, and just 17% of matches have gone over 2.5. Constantine’s recent form increases the risk of three goals being scored, but reaching four would require a much more open game than is typical for this competition, which is why Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge.

The strongest scenario is ASO Chlef leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full time, as CS Constantine were trailing at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches and did not lead in any of them. The hosts averaged 0.8 goals scored before the break but conceded as many as 1.6, while ASO Chlef recorded a more favourable first-half balance of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Constantine’s form is clearly poor: 0 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game. Chlef also lost 3 of their last 5 matches, but collected 4 points compared with the hosts’ 2 and were the only team in this pairing to record a win during this period of the season. After the break, the visitors score just 0.2 goals on average, so the risk of an equaliser remains; however, Constantine’s defensive problems and their frequent first-half deficits provide the strongest support for the 2/2 HT/FT outcome.