CS U Craiova vs FCSB: match statistics

CS U Craiova are extremely strong at home: they have won 80% of their matches, score an average of 3.00 goals per game and concede just 0.40. The hosts also create significantly more high-quality chances, as reflected by their average xG of 2.38 compared with FCSB’s 1.70, while their xG against stands at just 0.82. Away from home, FCSB score an average of only 0.75 goals, fail to find the net in 50% of such matches and have lost half of their fixtures. Recent form also favors Craiova, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded just 3 goals in that run, while FCSB have suffered 3 defeats in their last five games. The hosts’ advantage in possession—an average of 66% to 53%—and shots, 21.8 to 15.25, further indicates their control of the match.

The season data is extremely divergent: CS U Craiova recorded BTTS in 80% of matches, while FCSB did so in only 25%, well below the league average of 48%. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches and failed to score in 50%, significantly increasing the risk that one side will remain goalless. Craiova is, however, highly active in attack, averaging 20.2 shots, 7.0 shots on target and 2.20 xG, making a home goal likely. In their last five matches, the hosts conceded just 0.6 goals per game, while FCSB, despite scoring 1.8 goals per match, have shown less convincing form, with 3 defeats in 5 appearances. The strongest signal therefore remains BTTS - No, mainly due to the high chance of another Craiova clean sheet or FCSB failing to score.

CS U Craiova score an average of 2.0 goals in home matches, with at least 2 goals scored in 100% of their games in this part of the season. The hosts create a high volume of chances, averaging 20.2 shots and recording 2.20 xG, while FCSB concede an average of 0.75 goals away from home but allow opponents 1.53 xG. FCSB have a lower away scoring rate, averaging 0.75 goals, although they have recently improved to 1.8 goals per game over their last 5 matches and generated 1.84 xG. The projected total of 2.60 goals gives a clear edge to Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line remains practically balanced due to the visitors’ solid defensive results. Under 3.5 is also likely, as FCSB have not had a single away match with at least 4 goals, but the strongest signal remains a minimum of two goals in the match.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a CS U Craiova win after the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches and did not concede a single first-half goal during that period. Craiova are in clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.6, while FCSB have lost 60% of their games and allow opponents to score 1.6 goals per match. The hosts also create more chances, with an average xG of 2.20 compared with 1.70 for the visitors, attempt 20.2 shots per match versus FCSB’s 15.25, and finish their attacks more efficiently, recording a conversion rate of 10% compared with 5%. After the break, Craiova score an average of 1.0 goal, while FCSB score only 0.25, favouring a turnaround by the home side after an evenly balanced opening phase. The risk of a full-time draw remains significant, but Craiova’s advantage in form, chance creation and second-half performances supports the X/1 outcome.