CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Corvinul Hunedoara: match statistics
CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Corvinul Hunedoara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSA Steaua Bucureşti played Corvinul Hunedoara in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
CSA Steaua Bucureşti: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Corvinul Hunedoara: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores 1.58 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Corvinul Hunedoara scores 1.65 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSA Steaua Bucureşti 54%, Corvinul Hunedoara 35%. Over 2.5: CSA Steaua Bucureşti 54%, Corvinul Hunedoara 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Corvinul Hunedoara has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.72. CSA Steaua Bucureşti: 13.0 shots per match, Corvinul Hunedoara: 16.4.
Match halves
CSA Steaua Bucureşti: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85. Corvinul Hunedoara: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
CSA Steaua Bucureşti: 16-30 (10 goals). Corvinul Hunedoara: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga II: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2): Corvinul sit top with 19 wins this season versus Steaua’s 14, and over the last five matches they average 1.8 points compared to the hosts’ 1.2. The visitors’ key advantage is defence — Corvinul concedes only 0.54 goals per away game and records clean sheets in 62% of away matches, while Steaua concedes 1.08 goals at home on average and has just 17% clean sheets. Steaua, however, possess a strong home attack: 2.25 goals per game, 5.83 shots on target and average xG 1.92, and only 8% of matches without scoring, indicating a genuine offensive threat. Season totals show 43 scored and 16 conceded for Corvinul versus 41-33 for Steaua, and average xG against of 1.11 for the visitors vs 1.58 for the hosts, confirming Corvinul’s superior defensive stability. Considering the higher number of wins, better recent POINTS and away defensive solidity (0.54 goals conceded), I assign a 55% chance to the away win, 25% to the home win and 20% to a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS as unlikely. Season BTTS rates are low for both teams: Steaua 38% and Corvinul 31%, and BTTS occurred in only 20% of the last 5 matches for both sides. Strong evidence against BTTS are clean sheets — Steaua has 54% matches without conceding, Corvinul 62%, and Corvinul conceded only 16 goals this season (0.54 per match). Steaua’s attack produces 2.09 xG and 1.69 average goals with 6.31 shots on target (18.46 shots overall), but Steaua’s conversion is only 9% and in the last 5 matches they scored 5 goals, while Corvinul conceded only 3 in that span. Although league average BTTS is 49%, both teams are below that level, and recent form (last 5: Steaua 5 scored / 6 conceded, Corvinul 6 scored / 3 conceded) indicates at least one side frequently keeps a clean sheet. Therefore I assign 25% probability to BTTS - Yes and 75% to BTTS - No, with the strongest argument for 'No' being the high clean sheet percentages (54% vs 62%) and low average goals conceded (0.69 vs 0.54).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of a team’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: 2.09 (Steaua attack xG) and 1.11 (Corvinul defense xG) yield 1.60 for the home side, and 1.75 (Corvinul attack xG) and 1.04 (Steaua defense xG) yield about 1.40 for the visitors, totaling 3.00. With λ≈3.00 the Poisson distribution converts to roughly an 80% chance of Over 1.5 goals, about 58% for Over 2.5 and around 35% for Over 3.5, which favors the over side. Additionally, Steaua averages 18.46 shots and 6.31 shots on target per match versus Corvinul’s 14.31 and 4.92, confirming the creative advantage (xG 2.09 vs 1.75). Seasonally Steaua has 62% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Corvinul 46%, and the league averages 2.72 goals per game — these figures support a scenario of at least 2 goals despite high clean sheet rates (54% and 62%). The strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (approximately 80% probability), therefore I recommend the over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows that the home side often has the lead at the break — they led in 7 matches (54%) and score on average 0.92 goals by half-time versus 0.69 for the visitors. However, after the break the visitors are noticeably more active: they score on average 0.92 goals in the second half and win the second half in 62% of cases, with second-half points averaging 2.08 (visitors) versus 1.46 (home). The home team posts higher xG (2.09 vs 1.75) and more shots (18.46 vs 14.31), which explains the strong offensive starts, but the visitors’ efficiency after the break and the average goals conceded after the break — 0.38 for the home side versus 0.31 for the visitors — increase the risk of a turnaround. As a result the strongest scenario is the home side leading at the break and the visitors overturning the result after the break, hence the selection of 1/2 as the single strongest HT/FT signal (26%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Corvinul Hunedoara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corvinul Hunedoara is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 1.8 pts / match - Corvinul Hunedoara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Corvinul Hunedoara is 105% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 0.62 goals / match - Corvinul Hunedoara
CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Corvinul Hunedoara keeps a clean sheet in 58% (15 of 26 matches).
Corvinul Hunedoara scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while CSA Steaua Bucureşti keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Over / Under - Corvinul Hunedoara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Corvinul Hunedoara is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 1.88 pts / match - Corvinul Hunedoara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSA Steaua Bucureşti - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Corvinul Hunedoara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Corvinul Hunedoara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga | Corvinul Hunedoara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 82% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0 - 1 - 1 Corvinul Hunedoara. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Corvinul Hunedoara?
The Liga II match finished CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1:3 Corvinul Hunedoara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Corvinul Hunedoara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSA Steaua Bucureşti won 0, Corvinul Hunedoara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Corvinul Hunedoara?
CSA Steaua Bucureşti score 1.58 goals per game on average and Corvinul Hunedoara 1.65. The Liga II average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 54% of CSA Steaua Bucureşti's matches and 35% of Corvinul Hunedoara's.
What form are CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Corvinul Hunedoara in?
Over the last 5 games CSA Steaua Bucureşti have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Corvinul Hunedoara 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Corvinul Hunedoara?
The statistical background for CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Corvinul Hunedoara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.