Csákvári TK vs Karcag SE: match statistics
Csákvári TK vs Karcag SE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Csákvári TK played Karcag SE in NB II (Hungary). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Csákvári TK: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Karcag SE: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Csákvári TK scores 1.58 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Karcag SE scores 1.04 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Csákvári TK 63%, Karcag SE 46%. Over 2.5: Csákvári TK 50%, Karcag SE 29%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Csákvári TK has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.45. Csákvári TK: 12.0 shots per match, Karcag SE: 11.8.
Match halves
Csákvári TK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.79. Karcag SE: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Csákvári TK: 0-15 (9 goals). Karcag SE: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Csákvári TK holds a clear advantage based on the numbers: at home they average 1.92 goals per match and have scored 38 goals this season, while Karcag SE have 25 goals in the entire season and score only 0.75 goals per away match on average. The hosts create significantly more high-quality chances — 5.58 shots on target and 13.25 total shots per match with a 14% conversion rate versus 2.75 on target and 9.5 total shots with an 8% conversion for the visitors — and their average xG is 1.64 compared to Karcag’s 1.18 xG, confirming the offensive superiority. Form also favors the home side: in the last 5 matches Csákvári scored 12 goals and recorded a 2-2-1 record (1.6 points per match), while Karcag have 4 goals and a 1-0-4 record in their last 5 (0.6 points per match). Defensively the gap is narrower but still in the hosts’ favor — they concede 1.33 goals at home vs Karcag conceding 1.58 goals away, and the share of games without scoring is 8% for the home team versus 42% for the visitors, which makes it significantly harder for Karcag to pick up points. On this basis I predict a home win and assess the probabilities as 65% for Csákvári, 20% for a draw and 15% for a Karcag win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Csákvári has 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches (4/5) and scored 12 goals in that period, averaging 2.4 per game, with last xG 1.49, indicating high offensive activity from the home side. Seasonally the hosts have xG_for 1.7 and average 1.33 goals per game (38 goals), with an average on-target shots of 5.42, so the probability of the hosts scoring is high. Karcag has weaker offensive efficiency: 0.75 goals per game this season (25 goals) and only 4 goals in the last 5 matches (0.8), although their last 5 matches show xG_for 1.5, meaning they create chances despite poor finishing. The visitors concede 1.58 goals per game this season and 1.8 in the last 5 matches (9 conceded), which increases the chance of the hosts finding the net; considering season BTTS rates of 42% (hosts) and 50% (guests) and a league BTTS level of 47%, the signals favor both teams scoring. Based on the above figures I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability 60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining teams' xG and opponents' defensive xG yields an expected 1.63 goals for Csákvári and 1.32 for Karcag, totaling 2.95 goals. Under a Poisson distribution this translates to roughly a 79% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 57% for Over 2.5 and 34% for Over 3.5. The home side generates clearly better-quality chances: on average 5.42 shots on target and xG 1.70 per game versus 2.75 shots on target and xG 1.18 for the visitors, which supports a higher goal count. In the last 5 matches Csákvári scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and had 80% of games Over 2.5, while Karcag scored 4 goals (0.8) with 40% Over 2.5, reinforcing the over signal. As a result the strongest selection is Over 2.5 — both the combined xG of 2.95 and the home side’s shot dominance and form indicate a higher probability of exceeding this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The HT/FT forecast favors the 1/1 scenario (home team leading at the break and winning by full-time): I assigned it a 45% probability because the home side has a clear offensive advantage — home xG is 1.7 versus the visitors’ 1.18 xG, and the hosts average 5.42 shots on target compared to 2.75 for the away team. In the last 5 matches the home team led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and scored 11 first-half goals, while the visitors scored 4; on average the home team scores 1.4 goals by half-time versus 0.2 for the away side. Additionally, over the season the hosts average 1.33 goals per match versus 0.75 for the visitors, and shot conversion is 10% for the home team against 8% for the away team, which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. Although draws at half-time occur frequently season-wide (50% half-time draws for the home side), the distribution also accounts for alternatives: X/1 at 18% and X/X at 12%, while scenarios favoring the away team receive low probabilities due to only 8% away wins across the season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Csákvári TK | Karcag SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Csákvári TK is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Csákvári TK · 0.6 pts / match - Karcag SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Csákvári TK is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Csákvári TK · 1.04 goals / match - Karcag SE
Csákvári TK is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Csákvári TK · 1.42 goals / match - Karcag SE
Csákvári TK scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Karcag SE keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Karcag SE scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Csákvári TK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Csákvári TK
Over / Under - Karcag SE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Csákvári TK is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Csákvári TK · 1 pts / match - Karcag SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Csákvári TK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Karcag SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Csákvári TK
Karcag SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Csákvári TK | Liga | Karcag SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.52 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 47% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Csákvári TK 0 - 0 - 1 Karcag SE. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Csákvári TK vs Karcag SE?
The NB II match finished Csákvári TK 1:2 Karcag SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Csákvári TK vs Karcag SE?
Csákvári TK score 1.58 goals per game on average and Karcag SE 1.04. The NB II average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Csákvári TK's matches and 46% of Karcag SE's.
What form are Csákvári TK and Karcag SE in?
Over the last 5 games Csákvári TK have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karcag SE 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Csákvári TK vs Karcag SE?
The statistical background for Csákvári TK vs Karcag SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.