Csikszereda vs CFR Cluj: match statistics

CFR Cluj have a clear edge in chance creation away from home, averaging 16.33 shots and 3.67 shots on target per match, with an xG of 1.71, while Csikszereda average 10 shots, 2.5 on target and an xG of 1.13 at home. The hosts have failed to score in any home fixture this season, averaging 0.00 goals, which significantly limits their ability to capitalise on home advantage. However, CFR Cluj’s defence remains a major concern, as they concede an average of 2.67 goals away from home, with opponents recording an xG of 1.83, and have lost all 3 of their away matches. Both teams are in poor form: Csikszereda have scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches, while CFR have scored only 3, with the visitors conceding as many as 13 goals during this period. Despite their poor away results, CFR Cluj’s superior chance creation and higher possession—57% compared with the hosts’ 44%—give them a slight edge, although a draw remains a highly realistic outcome.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Csikszereda have averaged just 0.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while CFR Cluj have managed only 0.6, with both teams recording a BTTS rate of 40%. The visitors’ chances of scoring look particularly uncertain: they have failed to score in 33% of their matches this season, and their shot conversion rate is only 4%. Csikszereda have kept a clean sheet in all of their home matches so far, further supporting the scenario in which CFR Cluj fail to score. The hosts do average 1.73 xG and 6 shots on target, while CFR Cluj concede an average of 2.67 goals, making a Csikszereda goal likely; however, this does not necessarily mean that both teams will score.

The projected total of 2.30 goals points to a match with a realistic chance of 2–3 goals, but without strong grounds for a very high-scoring game. Csikszereda have scored an average of just 0.8 goals in their last 5 matches, with an xG of 0.93, although their current home average stands at 3.0 goals. CFR Cluj have recently conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match, raising the hosts’ projection to 1.45 goals; however, the visitors themselves have averaged only 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Their current xG is 1.17, while Csikszereda have conceded 1.2 goals per match during this period, which is why the projection for CFR Cluj remains limited to 0.85 goals. Under 3.5 has the edge, as even with the visitors’ weaker defensive record, the current attacking efficiency of both teams supports a total below four goals rather than an open, high-scoring exchange.

Csikszereda hold a clear advantage in the home data: they have won 100% of such matches, scoring an average of 3.00 goals and conceding none, while CFR Cluj score only 0.67 goals away from home and concede 2.67. The signal for the hosts to lead at the break is strong, as they average 1.50 goals before half-time and have kept a clean sheet in 100% of matches at that point, whereas the visitors were behind at half-time in all 3 of their away games. Recent form also favours the hosts in the first half: CFR Cluj have failed to score before the break in their last five appearances, conceding an average of 1.60 goals. Csikszereda also create more shots on target, 6.00 compared with 3.67, while their shot conversion rate stands at 21%, against just 4% for their opponents. Although both sides have similar xG figures, 1.73 for the hosts versus 1.71 for the visitors, CFR Cluj’s significantly weaker away defence, with an xGA of 1.83, supports the scenario of Csikszereda leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory.