Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of 12 September 2026

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: match statistics

155%(1.69)
X28%(3.70)
217%(4.20)

CSKA 1948 Sofia displays significantly better home form with a 54% win rate and an impressive streak of five consecutive wins at their home ground. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table and hold a positive goal difference of +6 in home matches, while Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 has a negative goal difference of -1 in away matches. xG analysis shows the hosts' advantage (1.54 xG For vs 1.25 xG Against), whereas the visitors have an unfavorable ratio (1.29 xG For vs 1.65 xG Against) in away fixtures. CSKA scores an average of 1.62 goals per match at home, which, combined with a shooting accuracy of 13% and superior ball possession (50% vs 44%), gives them a clear advantage. Lokomotiv shows away inconsistency with only 33% wins and 33% losses, which, paired with failing to score in 33% of their matches, makes them less threatening. Taking all factors into account, CSKA 1948 Sofia has solid grounds for securing a victory, although Lokomotiv can put up a fight, as evidenced by their 33% draw rate away from home.

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CSKA 1948 Sofia played Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

CSKA 1948 Sofia scores 1.62 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores 1.31 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CSKA 1948 Sofia 50%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 54%. Over 2.5: CSKA 1948 Sofia 54%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 46%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

CSKA 1948 Sofia has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.39. CSKA 1948 Sofia: 11.8 shots per match, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 10.6.

Match halves

CSKA 1948 Sofia: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.85. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 61-75 (11 goals). Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CSKA 1948 Sofia displays significantly better home form with a 54% win rate and an impressive streak of five consecutive wins at their home ground. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table and hold a positive goal difference of +6 in home matches, while Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 has a negative goal difference of -1 in away matches. xG analysis shows the hosts' advantage (1.54 xG For vs 1.25 xG Against), whereas the visitors have an unfavorable ratio (1.29 xG For vs 1.65 xG Against) in away fixtures. CSKA scores an average of 1.62 goals per match at home, which, combined with a shooting accuracy of 13% and superior ball possession (50% vs 44%), gives them a clear advantage. Lokomotiv shows away inconsistency with only 33% wins and 33% losses, which, paired with failing to score in 33% of their matches, makes them less threatening. Taking all factors into account, CSKA 1948 Sofia has solid grounds for securing a victory, although Lokomotiv can put up a fight, as evidenced by their 33% draw rate away from home.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
9Shots9
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
3Shots on target5
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.11xG1.32
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
5Corners5
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
45Dangerous attacks56
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
16Fouls9
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
2Cards1
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.62Goals scored / match1.31
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1Goals conceded / match1.19
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
53%Average possession48%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
4.73Shots on target / match3.92
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.81Shots per match10.58
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
4.73Shots on target3.92
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
13.7%Shot conversion12.4%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
53%Possession48%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.52xG for1.39
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.29xG against1.58
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

Shooting quality

CSKA 1948 Sofia: Efficient finishingLokomotiv Sofia 1929: Balanced
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929

CSKA 1948 Sofia
LWWDW
Season result split
58% W19% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-5-6
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
LWLDW
Season result split
31% W38% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-8
1.31 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1.31 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1.19 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929

CSKA 1948 Sofia scoring profile: very strong

CSKA 1948 Sofia scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scoring profile: strong

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while CSKA 1948 Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

42Goals scored (season)34
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
26Goals conceded (season)31
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
2.62Average goals in match2.5
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
10Goals scored (last 5)10
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal69%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
42%2 goals38%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
19%3 goals23%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
15%4 goals0%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal73%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
23%2 goals35%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
12%3 goals8%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
4%4 goals4%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 26 matches
44%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time12%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
4%BTTS in both halves8%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
31%Scored in both halves19%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
40%BTTS - last 560%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.77 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1.31 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929

CSKA 1948 Sofia - half-time state
46% leading38% draw15% trailing
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.77Points per match (1st half)1.31
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.54
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.19Average goals (1st half)0.96
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
65%Clean sheet before half-time58%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
42%No goal before half-time62%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.35
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.54
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
58%Clean sheet after half-time42%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
50%No goal after half-time50%
CSKA 1948 SofiaLokomotiv Sofia 1929

CSKA 1948 Sofia - second-half results

38% W35% D27% L
46
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - second-half results

31% W42% D27% L
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CSKA 1948 Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CSKA 1948 Sofia
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
9
9
31-45
5
5
46-60
11
3
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
8
4
16-30
4
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

CSKA 1948 SofiaLigaLokomotiv Sofia 1929
Average goals in match 2.622.34 2.50
Both teams scored 50%44% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%45% 46%
Clean sheets 38%35% 27%
Goal before half-time 73%64% 69%
Goal after half-time 73%72% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalMamadou Diallo
  2. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalDragan GrivićAssist: Lasha Dvali
  3. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929GoalAnte AralicaAssist: Cauê Caruso Alves
  4. CSKA 1948 SofiaYellow cardDragan Grivić
  5. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929GoalErol DostAssist: Dominik Ivilin Yankov
  6. CSKA 1948 SofiaSubstitutionOn: Borislav TsonevOff: Elias Corrêa Franco
  7. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929SubstitutionOn: Luann Augusto Xavier BoyOff: Cauê Caruso Alves
  8. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalBorislav TsonevAssist: Dragan Grivić
  9. CSKA 1948 SofiaSubstitutionOn: Jean David AkaOff: Brian Gabriel Sobrero
  10. CSKA 1948 SofiaSubstitutionOn: Atanas IlievOff: Mamadou Diallo
  11. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929Yellow cardDominik Ivilin Yankov
  12. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929SubstitutionOn: Georgi MinchevOff: Krasimir Stanoev
  13. CSKA 1948 SofiaSubstitutionOn: Petar VitanovOff: Georgi Rusev
  14. CSKA 1948 SofiaYellow cardYegor Parkhomenko

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 - 0 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FC Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0 : 1
FK CSKA 1948 Sofia

FAQ

What was the result of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

The First League match finished CSKA 1948 Sofia 3:2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

CSKA 1948 Sofia score 1.62 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1.31. The First League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CSKA 1948 Sofia's matches and 54% of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's.

What form are CSKA 1948 Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in?

Over the last 5 games CSKA 1948 Sofia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.