CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSKA 1948 Sofia played Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Spartak Varna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSKA 1948 Sofia scores 2.08 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Spartak Varna scores 0.92 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSKA 1948 Sofia 67%, Spartak Varna 33%. Over 2.5: CSKA 1948 Sofia 75%, Spartak Varna 33%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA 1948 Sofia has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.12. CSKA 1948 Sofia: 10.9 shots per match, Spartak Varna: 8.9.
Match halves
CSKA 1948 Sofia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.42. Spartak Varna: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
CSKA 1948 Sofia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Spartak Varna: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA 1948 Sofia have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, while Spartak Varna have won 2 matches and scored 5 goals. At home, the hosts win 86% of their matches and average 2.57 goals, whereas away from home the visitors lose half of their matches and concede an average of 1.83 goals. CSKA have a clear edge in finishing, converting 24% of their shots at home compared with Spartak’s 10% away, where the visitors have failed to score in 50% of matches. The chance-quality figures are more balanced, with the hosts’ home xG at 1.50 and the visitors’ away xG at 1.27; however, Spartak concede chances worth an average of 1.89 xG. CSKA concede an average of 1 goal per match at home, so the visitors could get on the scoresheet, but the hosts’ form and finishing make them favourites to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication against both teams scoring is Spartak Varna’s record: both sides scored in just 17% of their away matches and 20% of their last 5 games. The visitors failed to score in 50% of their away matches and average 1.0 goals in those games, while CSKA 1948 Sofia concede an average of 1.0 goals at home. The hosts have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, but their season average at home is only 0.83 goals, so their scoring is not certain either. The teams’ recent average xG figures of 1.77 and 1.74 point to some potential for goals at both ends. However, Spartak’s low scoring frequency makes BTTS - No the more likely outcome: this means at least one team will fail to score, not necessarily that the match will finish 0:0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CSKA 1948 Sofia have averaged 2.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches, but their season average is only 0.83, making it difficult to expect this high scoring rate to continue. Spartak Varna average 1.0 goal per match, and only 20% of their last 5 games went Over 2.5 goals. Although the visitors concede an average of 1.83 goals, no more than 3 goals were scored in 67% of their matches; the figure for the hosts is 83%. The forecast of 2.55 goals factors in CSKA’s improved attack, but points to Under 3.5 goals as the strongest pick among the lines analyzed.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
CSKA 1948 Sofia has stronger indicators for taking the lead before the break: at home, they score an average of 0.67 goals in the first half and concede 0.17, while Spartak score 0.17 and concede 1.00 on the road. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 6 home matches, while the visitors were trailing at that stage in 3 of their 6 away games. CSKA’s recent form also supports a win: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals, while Spartak have won 2 of 5 and averaged 1.0 goal. The risk to CSKA holding their lead lies in the second half, as Spartak score an average of 0.83 goals away from home after the break, and CSKA concede at the same rate at home. Even so, the hosts’ stronger start and clearly superior recent scoring form make a CSKA lead at half-time followed by a full-time win the most likely single scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA 1948 Sofia is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA 1948 Sofia is 126% better for: goals scored per match.
2.08 goals / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 0.92 goals / match - Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948 Sofia is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1.42 goals / match - Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948 Sofia scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Spartak Varna scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while CSKA 1948 Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA 1948 Sofia
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA 1948 Sofia is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia · 1.25 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA 1948 Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 - 2 - 0 Spartak Varna. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished CSKA 1948 Sofia 6:1 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Spartak Varna?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches CSKA 1948 Sofia won 1, Spartak Varna won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
CSKA 1948 Sofia score 2.08 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.92. The First League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of CSKA 1948 Sofia's matches and 33% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are CSKA 1948 Sofia and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA 1948 Sofia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Spartak Varna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.