CSKA Sofia vs Arda: match statistics
CSKA Sofia presents solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 9 goals in home matches. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5, demonstrating their offensive power. Arda is on a decent undefeated streak in their last 5 matches, yet they only win 44% of the time away and possess significantly weaker xG stats (1.23 vs 2.26 for CSKA). CSKA dominates in possession (59% vs 53%) and takes considerably more shots (19 vs 8.44), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Given the hosts' higher efficiency at their own stadium and superior offensive metrics, CSKA Sofia has a real chance of victory, although Arda's solid defense in recent matches (0 goals conceded) could make this a tight contest.
CSKA Sofia vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSKA Sofia played Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
CSKA Sofia: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Arda: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSKA Sofia scores 1.42 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Arda scores 1.05 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSKA Sofia 53%, Arda 21%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 37%, Arda 32%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.45. CSKA Sofia: 16.7 shots per match, Arda: 11.3.
Match halves
CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.74. Arda: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
CSKA Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). Arda: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia presents solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 9 goals in home matches. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5, demonstrating their offensive power. Arda is on a decent undefeated streak in their last 5 matches, yet they only win 44% of the time away and possess significantly weaker xG stats (1.23 vs 2.26 for CSKA). CSKA dominates in possession (59% vs 53%) and takes considerably more shots (19 vs 8.44), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Given the hosts' higher efficiency at their own stadium and superior offensive metrics, CSKA Sofia has a real chance of victory, although Arda's solid defense in recent matches (0 goals conceded) could make this a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA Sofia is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 2.2 pts / match - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.05 goals / match - Arda
CSKA Sofia is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 1 goals / match - Arda
CSKA Sofia scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Arda scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.32 pts / match - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSKA Sofia
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.39 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 33% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 - 1 Arda. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 3:1 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
CSKA Sofia score 1.42 goals per game on average and Arda 1.05. The First League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 21% of Arda's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Arda 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The statistical background for CSKA Sofia vs Arda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.