CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: match statistics
CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSKA Sofia played Botev Plovdiv in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 27 July 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
CSKA Sofia: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match. Botev Plovdiv: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSKA Sofia scores 0.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Botev Plovdiv scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSKA Sofia 0%, Botev Plovdiv 100%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 0%, Botev Plovdiv 0%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 2.22 vs 2.16. CSKA Sofia: 16.0 shots per match, Botev Plovdiv: 15.0.
Match halves
CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
CSKA Sofia: 0-15 (0 goals). Botev Plovdiv: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). CSKA Sofia shows a more consistent run: over the last 5 matches they have averaged 1.6 points per game (record 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Botev Plovdiv has only 0.8 points per game (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Offensively the visitors have scored more goals in their last 5 matches (8 vs 6), but have also conceded more (7 vs 5), indicating greater defensive vulnerability at Botev. League positions also favor CSKA (3rd vs 6th), and the lack of detailed shooting data limits precise assessment of chance quality. Considering result stability and the superior points record, I estimate the probabilities as: home win 60%, draw 22%, away win 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the Bulgarian league 71% of matches end with BTTS - Yes, and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches (3/5). In the last 5 games CSKA scored 6 and conceded 5 (avg 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded), while Botev scored 8 and conceded 7 (1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded), indicating regular goal exchanges. xG data confirms this trend: recent xG is 1.97 for CSKA and 2.03 for Botev, with xG against at 1.05 and 1.17 respectively — both teams create close to 2 xG and allow around 1.1 xG. Home season numbers (xG_for 2.22 and 7.0 shots on target per match) show offensive activity, whereas Botev’s seasonal data contain zeros and are unreliable, so I place greater weight on form from the last 5 matches. On this basis the strongest signal points to BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of ~75% versus ~25% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate about 1.57 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.54 goals for Botev Plovdiv, i.e. a total of ~3.11 goals. In the last 5 matches CSKA had an average xG_for of 1.97 and scored on average 1.2 goals, while Botev has xG_for 2.03 and scores on average 1.6 goals; both teams conceded 1.05 and 1.17 goals respectively in that period. CSKA at home records 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season, averaging 15 shots and 7 shots on target per match, confirming their offensive potential. Considering the combined expected 3.11 goals and the fact that in the last 5 meetings the home side averaged ~2.2 goals per game and the away side ~3.0, the strongest signal is Over 1.5; Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~66%), while Over 3.5 appears less likely (~28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a half-time draw with CSKA Sofia winning the match (X/1). In the last five fixtures the home side were level at the break in 60% of cases, and the average first-half goals for both teams is around 0.8, indicating a low scoring first 45 minutes. After the interval CSKA hold the offensive edge: the home xG is 2.22 versus 0.9 xG conceded by their defense, they average 1.0 goal in the second half and have recorded goals in minutes 76–90, so they are the most likely team to break the deadlock after the break. Additionally, in the last five matches the home team averaged 1.6 points per game compared with 0.8 points per game for the visitors and won 40% of matches versus 20% for the away side, which supports a final triumph for CSKA. Due to incomplete season-long data for the visiting team (many values at 0.0) I still assign significant weight to X/X scenarios (28%) and 1/1 (15%) as realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
Botev Plovdiv scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
Over / Under - Botev Plovdiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 0.00 | 2.23 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 46% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 62% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 0% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CSKA Sofia 1 - 1 - 0 Botev Plovdiv. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 3:2 Botev Plovdiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Botev Plovdiv?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1, Botev Plovdiv won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
CSKA Sofia score 0.00 goals per game on average and Botev Plovdiv 1.00. The First League average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 0% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 100% of Botev Plovdiv's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Botev Plovdiv in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Botev Plovdiv 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
The statistical background for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.