Bulgaria - First LeagueStadion Bâlgarska ArmijaData current as of 30 August 2026

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CSKA Sofia play Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija.

Current form

CSKA Sofia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Cherno More: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

CSKA Sofia scores 2.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Cherno More scores 1.17 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CSKA Sofia 40%, Cherno More 67%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 80%, Cherno More 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.28 vs 1.33. CSKA Sofia: 14.2 shots per match, Cherno More: 8.7.

Match halves

CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.60. Cherno More: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cherno More: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.49)
(3.95)
(6.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CSKA SofiaCherno More
2.6Goals scored / match1.17
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0.6Goals conceded / match2.17
CSKA SofiaCherno More
62%Average possession52%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
8.6Shots on target / match5
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.2Shots per match8.67
CSKA SofiaCherno More
8.6Shots on target5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
18.3%Shot conversion13.5%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
62%Possession52%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
2.28xG for1.33
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.23xG against1.26
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Shooting quality

CSKA Sofia: DominantCherno More: Efficient finishing
CSKA SofiaCherno More
Accuracy (shots on target)61%58%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CSKA Sofia is 333% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 0.6 pts / match - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
80% W20% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.28Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Cherno More
LLLLW
Season result split
17% W17% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CSKA Sofia is 122% better for: goals scored per match.

2.6 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.17 goals / match - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia is 262% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 2.17 goals / match - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia scoring profile: very strong

CSKA Sofia scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Cherno More scoring profile: mixed

Cherno More scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

13Goals scored (season)7
CSKA SofiaCherno More
3Goals conceded (season)13
CSKA SofiaCherno More
3.2Average goals in match3.33
CSKA SofiaCherno More
13Goals scored (last 5)6
CSKA SofiaCherno More
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
CSKA SofiaCherno More

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal67%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
80%2 goals33%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%3 goals17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%4 goals0%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal100%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%2 goals50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0%3 goals50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0%4 goals17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%BTTS in both halves0%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
80%Scored in both halves17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
40%BTTS - last 560%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CSKA Sofia is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 1 pts / match - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Cherno More - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)1
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1Goals scored (1st half)0.33
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.83
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%No goal before half-time67%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

After half-time (2nd half)

2.6Points per match (2nd half)0.83
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0.2Goals conceded (2nd half)1.67
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.8Average goals (2nd half)2.5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
80%Clean sheet after half-time17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%No goal after half-time50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

CSKA Sofia - second-half results

80% W20% R0% P
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cherno More - second-half results

17% W33% R50% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.2

Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CSKA Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match1.01.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Cherno More - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CSKA Sofia
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Cherno More
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
122%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CSKA Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Cherno More

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.91
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

CSKA SofiaLigaCherno More
Average goals in match 3.202.69 3.33
Both teams scored 40%52% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%52% 67%
Clean sheets 60%25% 0%
Goal before half-time 80%71% 67%
Goal after half-time 80%81% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 - 1 Cherno More. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

PFC Cherno More Varna
2 : 0
PFC CSKA Sofia
PFC CSKA Sofia
0 : 0
PFC Cherno More Varna

FAQ

When do CSKA Sofia and Cherno More play?

CSKA Sofia face Cherno More on 30 August 2026 in First League at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Cherno More?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 0, Cherno More won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?

CSKA Sofia score 2.60 goals per game on average and Cherno More 1.17. The First League average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 40% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 67% of Cherno More's.

What form are CSKA Sofia and Cherno More in?

Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Cherno More 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.