CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More: match statistics
CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSKA Sofia played Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
CSKA Sofia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Cherno More: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSKA Sofia scores 2.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Cherno More scores 1.17 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSKA Sofia 40%, Cherno More 67%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 80%, Cherno More 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.28 vs 1.33. CSKA Sofia: 14.2 shots per match, Cherno More: 8.7.
Match halves
CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.60. Cherno More: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cherno More: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia have won all of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3.33 goals per game, while Cherno More are still without an away victory. The hosts create significantly more danger: their average home xG stands at 2.42 compared with Cherno More’s 1.12 away from home, and they average 9.33 shots on target versus 3.67 for their opponents. The Sofia side also dominate possession (63% to 49%) and have a significantly higher shot conversion rate, 23% compared with 10%. Cherno More concede an average of 2 goals away from home, have kept no clean sheets on the road and have lost 4 of their last 5 matches overall. CSKA Sofia have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 games, but their attacking superiority and outstanding home record strongly point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is slightly positive, as both CSKA Sofia and Cherno More have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season, while neither team has kept a clean sheet so far. CSKA Sofia create significantly more chances, averaging 1.53 xG and 6.33 shots on target per match, compared with Cherno More’s 1.12 xG and 3.67 shots on target. The hosts are also in good offensive form, scoring 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches, while the visitors conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game over the same period. The risk to the pick is Cherno More’s weaker consistency, with the team scoring only 0.67 goals per match this season. However, their recent average of 1.2 goals and an xG of 1.40 indicate that an away goal remains a realistic outcome. Therefore, the scenario in which both sides score at least once is more likely, although the edge over BTTS - No is not substantial.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CSKA Sofia have averaged 2.4 goals scored over their last five matches, while Cherno More have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game during this period. The hosts are also creating more chances: their average xG stands at 1.85 compared with 1.40 for the visitors, while their average number of shots on target is 6.33 versus 3.67. Over 2.5 goals has landed in all five of CSKA Sofia’s last matches and in 80% of Cherno More’s games, significantly strengthening the baseline high-scoring scenario. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in the season data, and a goal has been scored in 100% of their matches. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as it combines a very high likelihood of at least two goals with the hosts’ attacking form and the visitors’ recent defensive weakness.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
CSKA Sofia have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Cherno More have lost 4 of their last 5, with the average points over this period standing at 1.8 versus 0.6. The hosts have held a lead at the break in 60% of their recent matches and have averaged 1.0 goal before half-time, compared with just 0.4 goals scored by the visitors. CSKA’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: their average xG is 1.53 versus 1.12, while shots on target stand at 6.33 versus 3.67. After the break, the hosts have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five appearances, whereas Cherno More have conceded as many as 1.8, increasing the likelihood of CSKA maintaining or extending their lead. The most likely outcome is therefore CSKA leading at half-time and securing victory at the final whistle: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 58% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA Sofia is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 0.6 pts / match - Cherno More
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.17 goals / match - Cherno More
CSKA Sofia is 262% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 2.17 goals / match - Cherno More
CSKA Sofia scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Cherno More scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
Over / Under - Cherno More
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 1 pts / match - Cherno More
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.70 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 - 1 Cherno More. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 3:1 Cherno More. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Cherno More?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 0, Cherno More won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?
CSKA Sofia score 2.60 goals per game on average and Cherno More 1.17. The First League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 40% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 67% of Cherno More's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Cherno More in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Cherno More 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.