Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of 22 October 2026

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CSKA Sofia play Ludogorets in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 26 October 2026.

Current form

CSKA Sofia: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Ludogorets: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

CSKA Sofia scores 2.45 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Ludogorets scores 2.10 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CSKA Sofia 64%, Ludogorets 60%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 64%, Ludogorets 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.20 vs 1.72. CSKA Sofia: 15.8 shots per match, Ludogorets: 13.2.

Match halves

CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.27. Ludogorets: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ludogorets: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.23)
(3.28)
(3.07)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CSKA SofiaLudogorets
2.45Goals scored / match2.1
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
0.82Goals conceded / match0.7
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
62%Average possession57%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
7.27Shots on target / match5.9
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.82Shots per match13.2
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
7.27Shots on target5.9
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
15.5%Shot conversion15.9%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
62%Possession57%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
2.2xG for1.72
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
1.2xG against0.98
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

Shooting quality

CSKA Sofia: DominantLudogorets: Efficient finishing
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
Accuracy (shots on target)46%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CSKA Sofia
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
73% W27% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-0
2.45 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.28Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Ludogorets
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-0
2.60 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CSKA Sofia is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

2.45 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 2.1 goals / match - Ludogorets

Ludogorets is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 0.7 goals / match - Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia scoring profile: very strong

CSKA Sofia scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

Ludogorets scoring profile: very strong

Ludogorets scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

27Goals scored (season)21
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
9Goals conceded (season)7
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
3.27Average goals in match2.8
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
11Goals scored (last 5)11
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal100%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
73%2 goals70%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
55%3 goals20%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
18%4 goals10%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal60%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
18%2 goals10%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
0%3 goals0%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
0%4 goals0%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

55%BTTS at half-time20%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
9%BTTS in both halves0%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
73%Scored in both halves40%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
80%BTTS - last 580%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
73%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ludogorets is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.91 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 2.1 pts / match - Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia - half-time state
45% leading55% draw0% trailing
Ludogorets - half-time state
60% leading30% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.91Points per match (1st half)2.1
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
1.18Goals scored (1st half)1.2
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
1.73Average goals (1st half)1.5
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
45%Clean sheet before half-time70%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
9%No goal before half-time20%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

After half-time (2nd half)

2.18Points per match (2nd half)1.7
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
0.27Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.3
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
82%Clean sheet after half-time60%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
27%No goal after half-time40%
CSKA SofiaLudogorets

CSKA Sofia - second-half results

64% W27% D9% L
21
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ludogorets - second-half results

40% W50% D10% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CSKA Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Ludogorets - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CSKA Sofia
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
7
0
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Ludogorets
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
0
31-45
6
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
91%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CSKA Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Ludogorets

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
174%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

CSKA SofiaLigaLudogorets
Average goals in match▲ 3.272.70• 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 64%55%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%51%• 50%
Clean sheets▲ 36%24%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%68%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%80%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): CSKA Sofia 1 - 1 - 2 Ludogorets. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets play?

CSKA Sofia face Ludogorets on 26 October 2026 in First League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1, Ludogorets won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

CSKA Sofia score 2.45 goals per game on average and Ludogorets 2.10. The First League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 64% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 60% of Ludogorets's.

What form are CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets in?

Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ludogorets 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.