CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: match statistics

CSM Reşiţa have won both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding just 0.5 goals per game. The hosts create significantly more danger, averaging 15.5 shots and 7 shots on target per match, while their average xG stands at 2.01 compared with Steaua’s 0.59 away from home. CSA Steaua Bucureşti have lost every away fixture, failing to score a single goal and conceding an average of 3 goals per game. Although the visitors average 60% possession, this translates into just 3 shots and 1 shot on target per match, so Reşiţa’s superiority should be clear. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Steaua have suffered 3 defeats during that period.

The latest form of both teams supports goals at both ends: CSM Reşiţa have recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, identical to CSA Steaua Bucureşti. The hosts averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded during this period, while the visitors scored 1.4 goals and conceded 1.8. Their attacking potential is supported by an xG of 1.69 for Reşiţa and 1.44 for Steaua across their last five matches, while both defences allowed 1.23 and 1.16 xG respectively. The main risk to the pick is Steaua’s seasonal away record, which includes 0.0 goals scored and 100% of matches without scoring, although this very small sample contrasts with their current average of 1.4 goals. The hosts’ edge in chance creation, reflected in 14.33 shots and 5.67 shots on target per match compared with 3.0 and 1.0 for the visitors, should ensure they find the net, while Steaua’s recent attacking improvement slightly tilts the prediction towards BTTS - Yes.

The signal for at least two goals is strong, as matches involving both teams in the current competition have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of cases. Reşiţa creates chances worth an average of 1.92 xG at home and registers 5.67 shots on target per match, while Steaua concedes an average of 3.00 goals away from home. The visitors have a weaker attacking profile in this matchup, averaging just 0.59 xG and 1.00 shot on target, which limits their projected goal tally to 0.90. At the same time, the form across the last five matches has been more open: Reşiţa averaged 2.0 goals scored, while Steaua averaged 1.4, with both teams conceding 1.6 and 1.8 goals respectively. This supports Over 1.5 goals, but Steaua’s limited away attacking potential reduces confidence in higher lines, especially Over 3.5 goals.

CSM Reşiţa have a clear attacking edge: the hosts’ average xG stands at 1.92 compared with just 0.59 for Steaua, while shots on target average 5.67 to 1.00. In their last five matches, Reşiţa won 60% of the games and held a lead at the break in 40%, whereas Steaua lost 60% of those matches and went into half-time trailing in 60% of cases. The visitors have yet to score on their current away run, have lost every match, and conceded an average of 3.00 goals, which significantly reduces the credibility of a scenario in which they secure a full-time victory. Reşiţa are particularly effective after the interval, scoring an average of 1.00 goals and avoiding defeat in the second half in all three matches. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is 1/1: Reşiţa to lead at half-time and maintain their advantage through to the final whistle.