CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacău: match statistics
CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacău: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSM Reşiţa played FC Bacău in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
CSM Reşiţa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Bacău: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSM Reşiţa scores 1.68 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. FC Bacău scores 1.32 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSM Reşiţa 50%, FC Bacău 50%. Over 2.5: CSM Reşiţa 50%, FC Bacău 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
CSM Reşiţa has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.50. CSM Reşiţa: 14.6 shots per match, FC Bacău: 9.6.
Match halves
CSM Reşiţa: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. FC Bacău: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
CSM Reşiţa: 31-45+ (9 goals). FC Bacău: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga II: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Season-long metrics indicate CSM Reşiţa's advantage in chance creation and possession: at home they average 15.17 shots per game, 6 on target, 1.92 goals per game and 1.96 xG, while FC Bacău away averages 10.27 shots, 4.09 on target, 1.27 goals and 1.42 xG. The hosts sit 1st in the table with 37 goals scored this season vs. 29 for the visitors, also enjoying higher possession (56% vs 42%) and a lower share of home clean sheets conceded (17% vs 36%). However, the last 5 fixtures clearly favor the visitors: CSM Reşiţa have scored 6 and conceded 12 in their last 5 (2.4 conceded per game) with a record of 1-1-3 (0.8 pts/game), while FC Bacău have scored 8 and conceded 4 (0.8 conceded per game) and hold a 4-1-0 record (2.6 pts/game). Although season-long expected goals against at home favor the hosts (xGA 1.25 vs 1.81 for the away side), the defensive form over the last five (2.4 conceded for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors) gives FC Bacău the current defensive edge. Consequently I tip the away win (2) with probabilities: home 30%, draw 25%, away 45%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS 'Yes' appears more likely, because in the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS 60% each (CSM 60% and FC Bacău 60%), and season-long rates are 55% for CSM and 45% for Bacău. CSM conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 2.4 per match), while FC Bacău scored 8 goals in that period (1.6 per match), suggesting a realistic chance for the visitors to score. xG analysis shows CSM generates 1.63 xG per match against Bacău’s average xG conceded of 1.81, while Bacău has 1.42 xG versus CSM’s average xG conceded of 1.31 — both sides create chances against the opponent’s weaknesses. Additionally, shots on target 4.5 vs 4.09 and season goals-per-game averages of 1.36 for CSM and 1.27 for Bacău confirm moderate attacking output from both teams. Based on this, I tip BTTS 'Yes' at ~70% and 'No' at 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model (1.63 xG for CSM Reşiţa and 1.42 for FC Bacău) combined with opponent defensive metrics (FC Bacău concedes 1.81 xG per match on average, CSM Reşiţa 1.31) yields expected 1.72 goals for the home side and 1.37 for the visitors, totaling approximately 3.09 goals. A Poisson distribution with λ=3.09 gives roughly an 81% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), which aligns with the season share of matches with at least 2 goals: 73% for both teams. The model indicates about a 60% chance of Over 2.5 (at least 3 goals), higher than the season rates of 36% for Reşiţa and 45% for Bacău, so Over 2.5 has a moderate edge but is weaker than Over 1.5. Over 3.5 remains less likely (model ~37%; seasonally 18% for the home side and 27% for the visitors). Additionally, Reşiţa has been conceding an average of 2.4 goals while scoring 1.2 in the last 5 matches, whereas Bacău has been scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8, which further supports multiple goals. Based on this, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (approx. 81% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I expect a draw: the home side recorded a draw at the break in 45% of their matches this season, and in the last five fixtures a half-time draw occurred for the home team in 80% and for the away team in 60%. Home teams score an average of 0.91 goals by the break versus 0.64 for the visitors, so a low-scoring draw at half-time is realistic. After the break I anticipate an advantage for the away side: in their last five matches the away team won 80% of games and average 2.6 points per match, and in the second halves of those five games they average 1.8 points and a 40% win rate in second halves. The home side over their last five matches concedes an average of 2.4 goals and collects only 0.8 points, increasing the risk of surrendering their lead after the break. Therefore the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2): the HT draw is supported by 45–80% half-time draw rates, and the away form (80% wins and 2.6 points) gives them the greatest chance of a full-time victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSM Reşiţa | FC Bacău | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Bacău is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - CSM Reşiţa · 2.6 pts / match - FC Bacău
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSM Reşiţa is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - CSM Reşiţa · 1.32 goals / match - FC Bacău
FC Bacău is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - CSM Reşiţa · 1.18 goals / match - FC Bacău
CSM Reşiţa scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while FC Bacău keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
FC Bacău scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while CSM Reşiţa keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSM Reşiţa
Over / Under - FC Bacău
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSM Reşiţa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Bacău - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSM Reşiţa
FC Bacău
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| CSM Reşiţa | Liga | FC Bacău | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CSM Reşiţa 0 - 1 - 0 FC Bacău. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacău?
The Liga II match finished CSM Reşiţa 1:0 FC Bacău. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacău?
CSM Reşiţa score 1.68 goals per game on average and FC Bacău 1.32. The Liga II average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CSM Reşiţa's matches and 50% of FC Bacău's.
What form are CSM Reşiţa and FC Bacău in?
Over the last 5 games CSM Reşiţa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Bacău 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacău?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacău: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.