CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: match statistics
CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSM Satu Mare played Dumbrăviţa in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
CSM Satu Mare: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Dumbrăviţa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSM Satu Mare scores 0.86 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Dumbrăviţa scores 1.14 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSM Satu Mare 50%, Dumbrăviţa 64%. Over 2.5: CSM Satu Mare 50%, Dumbrăviţa 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
CSM Satu Mare has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.19. CSM Satu Mare: 9.7 shots per match, Dumbrăviţa: 8.4.
Match halves
CSM Satu Mare: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.64. Dumbrăviţa: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
CSM Satu Mare: 46-60 (5 goals). Dumbrăviţa: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga II: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dumbrăviţa appears to be the favorite, having won 3 of the last 5 matches and averaging 2.0 points per game over that span, while CSM Satu Mare has only 0.8 points and 1 win in their last 5. Home side creation is in favor of CSM — at home they average 11.1 shots with 3.4 on target and xG 1.43, whereas Dumbrăviţa on the road averages 7.64 shots, 2.82 on target and xG 1.03. Despite that, efficiency favors the visitors: Dumbrăviţa has a 17% conversion rate versus the hosts' 11% and, with similar goals per game (1.17 vs 1.2), converts chances better. Defensively CSM is weaker — they concede 2.4 goals on average at home and have conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches, while Dumbrăviţa concedes 1.75 on the road and only 2 goals in their last 5. Considering the visitors' 2.0 points per game, superior 17% efficiency and the hosts' defensive issues (seasonal goals conceded 47 versus 34 for Dumbrăviţa), I forecast a Dumbrăviţa victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key season indicators favor BTTS: CSM Satu Mare have BTTS in 70% of matches, Dumbrăviţa in 58% (league average 49%), providing a strong seasonal signal of both teams scoring and conceding. xG and shot metrics point to vulnerable defenses and goal potential — xG against the home side is 1.73, against the visitors 2.14, with attacking xG 1.36 for the home team and 1.03 for the visitors, yielding estimated expected goals of roughly 1.75 for the home side and 1.38 for the visitors. Form over the last 5 matches is mixed: hosts had BTTS in 40% with an average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, while visitors had 20% BTTS with 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded, suggesting the visitors have recently kept clean sheets more often. Hosts average 4.1 shots on target and 10.3 shots per game, visitors 2.82 and 7.64, and the visitors’ higher conversion rate of 17% versus the hosts’ 11% increases the likelihood that the visitors will convert their chances. Considering the dominant seasonal BTTS rates (70% and 58%), vulnerable defenses by xG (1.73 and 2.14) and mixed but not dominant recent form, I assess BTTS probability at 68% vs 32% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a goals advantage — I expect a total of 3.13 goals (CSM Satu Mare 1.75 and Dumbrăviţa 1.38), i.e. Over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a high percentage of BTTS matches: 70% for the home side and 58% for the visitors, while clean sheet rates are low (30% and 17%), increasing the likelihood of goals from both teams. Dumbrăviţa concedes 2.14 xG per away match on average, CSM 1.73 xG, and season Over 2.5 percentages are 50% for both teams against a league average of 2.72 goals per match — this supports an approximate 68% probability for Over 2.5. In the last 5 matches CSM has xG for 1.5 and has scored 5 while conceding 9, and Dumbrăviţa has xG for 1.22 with 4 scored and 2 conceded, which limits the chance of a very high-scoring game (Over 3.5 estimated at ~36%). Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors (Dumbrăviţa) led at the break in 5 matches this season, representing 42% of appearances, and in the last 5 fixtures they held a lead at the break in 60% of cases, demonstrating strong starts. In their last 5 matches the visitors won 60% of games, and their shot conversion rate is 17% versus the hosts’ 11%, so they are better at turning chances into goals. The hosts generate higher average xG (1.36 vs 1.03), more shots (10.3 vs 7.64) and more shots on target (4.1 vs 2.82), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Second halves favor the hosts (they earned 14 points and averaged 1.4 points in second halves versus 12 points and 1.0 for the visitors, with second-half wins at 30% for the hosts vs 17% for the visitors), however given the parameters for leading at the break and the visitors’ form the most credible scenario from the data is the visitors leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time. On that basis I recommend HT/FT: 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSM Satu Mare | Dumbrăviţa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dumbrăviţa is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - CSM Satu Mare · 2 pts / match - Dumbrăviţa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dumbrăviţa is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - CSM Satu Mare · 1.14 goals / match - Dumbrăviţa
Dumbrăviţa is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - CSM Satu Mare · 1.55 goals / match - Dumbrăviţa
CSM Satu Mare scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Dumbrăviţa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Dumbrăviţa scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while CSM Satu Mare keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSM Satu Mare
Over / Under - Dumbrăviţa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dumbrăviţa is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / match - CSM Satu Mare · 1.14 pts / match - Dumbrăviţa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSM Satu Mare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dumbrăviţa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSM Satu Mare
Dumbrăviţa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| CSM Satu Mare | Liga | Dumbrăviţa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CSM Satu Mare 0 - 0 - 1 Dumbrăviţa. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
The Liga II match finished CSM Satu Mare 3:2 Dumbrăviţa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
CSM Satu Mare score 0.86 goals per game on average and Dumbrăviţa 1.14. The Liga II average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CSM Satu Mare's matches and 64% of Dumbrăviţa's.
What form are CSM Satu Mare and Dumbrăviţa in?
Over the last 5 games CSM Satu Mare have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dumbrăviţa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.