Romania - Liga IIStadionul Daniel ProdanData current as of 16 October 2026

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CSM Satu Mare play Metalul Buzău in Liga II (Romania). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadionul Daniel Prodan.

Current form

CSM Satu Mare: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Metalul Buzău: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

CSM Satu Mare scores 0.56 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Metalul Buzău scores 1.11 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.97 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CSM Satu Mare 44%, Metalul Buzău 33%. Over 2.5: CSM Satu Mare 11%, Metalul Buzău 22%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Metalul Buzău has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.33. CSM Satu Mare: 10.1 shots per match, Metalul Buzău: 12.7.

Match halves

CSM Satu Mare: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00. Metalul Buzău: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

CSM Satu Mare: 0-15 (2 goals). Metalul Buzău: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga II: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.54)
(3.55)
(1.90)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0.56Goals scored / match1.11
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
1.33Goals conceded / match0.78
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
47%Average possession56%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
3.56Shots on target / match4.78
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.11Shots per match12.67
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
3.56Shots on target4.78
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
5.5%Shot conversion8.8%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
47%Possession56%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
1.33xG for1.55
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
1.36xG against1.01
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

Shooting quality

CSM Satu Mare: BalancedMetalul Buzău: Balanced
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
Accuracy (shots on target)35%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.160.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Metalul Buzău is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - CSM Satu Mare · 2 pts / match - Metalul Buzău

CSM Satu Mare
LDDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W56% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-5-4
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
LDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Metalul Buzău
LDWWW
Season result split
56% W22% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-2
1.89 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 0.79BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Metalul Buzău is 98% better for: goals scored per match.

0.56 goals / match - CSM Satu Mare · 1.11 goals / match - Metalul Buzău

Metalul Buzău is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - CSM Satu Mare · 0.78 goals / match - Metalul Buzău

CSM Satu Mare scoring profile: more difficult

CSM Satu Mare scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Metalul Buzău keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

Metalul Buzău scoring profile: very strong

Metalul Buzău scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while CSM Satu Mare keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

5Goals scored (season)10
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
12Goals conceded (season)7
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
1.89Average goals in match1.89
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
4Goals scored (last 5)6
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

How often they score at least...

44%1 goal78%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
11%2 goals22%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%3 goals11%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%4 goals0%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal44%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
44%2 goals22%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%3 goals11%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%4 goals0%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%Scored in both halves0%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

BTTS and goal count

11%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
60%BTTS - last 540%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
11%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CSM Satu Mare is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - CSM Satu Mare · 1.22 pts / match - Metalul Buzău

CSM Satu Mare - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing
Metalul Buzău - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.22
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.33
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
1.11Average goals (1st half)0.67
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
56%Clean sheet before half-time67%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
56%No goal before half-time67%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.56
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
0.78Average goals (2nd half)1.22
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău
100%No goal after half-time56%
CSM Satu MareMetalul Buzău

CSM Satu Mare - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Metalul Buzău - second-half results

44% W22% D33% L
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding255%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CSM Satu Mare - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.00
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+3-6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Metalul Buzău - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CSM Satu Mare
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
4
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Metalul Buzău
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
64%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CSM Satu Mare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
33%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Metalul Buzău

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).

Teams vs league

CSM Satu MareLigaMetalul Buzău
Average goals in match▼ 1.892.97▼ 1.89
Both teams scored▼ 44%58%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 11%58%▼ 22%
Clean sheets▼ 11%23%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%85%▼ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.97
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CSM Satu Mare 1 - 0 - 0 Metalul Buzău. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Metalul Buzău
0 : 1
CSM Satu Mare

FAQ

When do CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău play?

CSM Satu Mare face Metalul Buzău on 17 October 2026 in Liga II at Stadionul Daniel Prodan. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?

CSM Satu Mare score 0.56 goals per game on average and Metalul Buzău 1.11. The Liga II average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 44% of CSM Satu Mare's matches and 33% of Metalul Buzău's.

What form are CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău in?

Over the last 5 games CSM Satu Mare have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Metalul Buzău 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?

The statistical background for CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.