Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a highly balanced scenario. Both Cúcuta Deportivo and Independiente Medellín display identical form over their last five matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and an identical PPG (0.4 points per match). The hosts hold a slight edge in home offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per match vs 0.33 for the visitors away); however, their defense is weaker (averaging 1.67 goals conceded). Independiente Medellín boasts better xG figures (1.12 vs 0.76), suggesting they create superior chances, yet their conversion rate is extremely low (3% shot accuracy). Given the poor form of both sides, the hosts' lack of home victories, and the recent trend towards draws (form: 'ldd' vs 'lld'), a share of the points is the most likely outcome. Neither team possesses a distinct enough advantage to secure a decisive win.
Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cúcuta Deportivo play Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 10 February 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Cúcuta Deportivo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cúcuta Deportivo scores 1.16 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cúcuta Deportivo 63%, Independiente Medellín 68%. Over 2.5: Cúcuta Deportivo 53%, Independiente Medellín 58%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.02. Cúcuta Deportivo: 8.7 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.6.
Match halves
Cúcuta Deportivo: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Cúcuta Deportivo: 31-45+ (6 goals). Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a highly balanced scenario. Both Cúcuta Deportivo and Independiente Medellín display identical form over their last five matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and an identical PPG (0.4 points per match). The hosts hold a slight edge in home offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per match vs 0.33 for the visitors away); however, their defense is weaker (averaging 1.67 goals conceded). Independiente Medellín boasts better xG figures (1.12 vs 0.76), suggesting they create superior chances, yet their conversion rate is extremely low (3% shot accuracy). Given the poor form of both sides, the hosts' lack of home victories, and the recent trend towards draws (form: 'ldd' vs 'lld'), a share of the points is the most likely outcome. Neither team possesses a distinct enough advantage to secure a decisive win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cúcuta Deportivo | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Cúcuta Deportivo · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Cúcuta Deportivo · 1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Cúcuta Deportivo · 1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Cúcuta Deportivo scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Cúcuta Deportivo keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cúcuta Deportivo
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cúcuta Deportivo is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Cúcuta Deportivo · 0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cúcuta Deportivo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cúcuta Deportivo
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Cúcuta Deportivo | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Cúcuta Deportivo 1:3 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellín?
Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.16 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Cúcuta Deportivo's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Cúcuta Deportivo and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Cúcuta Deportivo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellín?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.