Čukarički vs Radnik Surdulica: match statistics
Čukarički vs Radnik Surdulica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Čukarički played Radnik Surdulica in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Čukarički: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Radnik Surdulica: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Čukarički scores 1.40 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Radnik Surdulica scores 1.23 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Čukarički 73%, Radnik Surdulica 50%. Over 2.5: Čukarički 50%, Radnik Surdulica 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Čukarički has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.49. Čukarički: 12.6 shots per match, Radnik Surdulica: 12.2.
Match halves
Čukarički: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.63. Radnik Surdulica: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Čukarički: 16-30 (12 goals). Radnik Surdulica: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The forecast favors the home win (Čukarički). At home Čukarički average 1.73 goals per match with 12.13 shots and 4.6 on target, converting at 14%, whereas Radnik away averages only 0.93 goals with 9.87 shots and 3.27 on target and a 9% conversion. The gap in chance quality is supported by xG — 1.45 xG for Čukarički at home versus 1.19 xG for Radnik away — while defensive numbers are similar (goals conceded 1.33 for hosts vs 1.27 for visitors; xG against 1.52 vs 1.56). Over the last 5 matches both sides average 1.2 points per game, with Radnik scoring 7 goals and Čukarički 4, indicating comparable short-term form. Considering the higher home win rate (47% vs 20%), positive home goal difference (+6 vs -5) and a very low percentage of home matches without a goal (7% vs 53%), I assess probabilities as: home 65%, draw 20%, away 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS (Both Teams To Score) as the more likely outcome in this match. Čukarički at home averages 1.53 goals per game with an xG of 1.79 from 14.6 shots and 4.8 on target, and their home matches have ended BTTS in 60% of cases. Radnik Surdulica has scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 avg) and recorded BTTS in 80% of those games, although seasonally they score 0.93 goals away on average and have 40% BTTS on the road. Both teams concede goals over the season (Čukarički 1.07, Radnik 1.27) and xG against shows 1.2 for the home side and 1.56 for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering the home BTTS rate of 60% for the hosts, 80% BTTS for the visitors in the last 5, and a league-wide BTTS level of 53%, I assign 65% to 'Yes' vs 35% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and statistics I expect approximately 2.88 total expected goals: 1.68 for Čukarički and 1.20 for Radnik Surdulica. Both teams have a high share of matches above 1.5 goals this season — home side 73%, away side 67% — which, combined with total xG = 2.88, yields an estimated probability for Over 1.5 of about 78%. The 2.5 line has moderate support: seasonally Čukarički records Over 2.5 in 53% of matches, Radnik in 27%, and a Poisson model with combined xG 2.88 rates Over 2.5 at ~55%, while Over 3.5 is less likely (~33%). Čukarički averages 14.6 shots with 4.8 on target (conversion ~11%), Radnik 9.87 shots with 3.27 on target (conversion ~9%), which strengthens the hosts’ goal potential. Consequently the strongest and safest signal is backing Over at 1.5 (probability ~78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Čukarički are clear favorites: they have a 47% win rate versus Radnik’s 20%, average 1.67 points per match versus 0.93, xG 1.79 versus 1.19 and on average 14.6 shots versus 9.87, which confirms superiority in chance creation. A draw at the break is common and usually low-scoring: the hosts were level at half-time in 33% of matches (guests 40%), the hosts average 0.87 goals by half-time vs 0.53 for Radnik, and the hosts kept a clean sheet at the break in 67% of games with both teams scoring by half-time in only 13% of cases. After the break Čukarički show a clear advantage — they score on average 0.67 goals after the break, have accumulated 24 points in second halves (an average of 1.6 points) and scored 6 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for Radnik, indicating decisive late goals. For these reasons the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Čukarički | Radnik Surdulica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Čukarički is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Čukarički · 1.23 goals / match - Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Čukarički · 1.17 goals / match - Radnik Surdulica
Čukarički scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Radnik Surdulica keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Radnik Surdulica scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Čukarički keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Čukarički
Over / Under - Radnik Surdulica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Čukarički is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Čukarički · 1.27 pts / match - Radnik Surdulica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Čukarički - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Radnik Surdulica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Čukarički
Radnik Surdulica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Čukarički | Liga | Radnik Surdulica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Čukarički 0 - 1 - 1 Radnik Surdulica. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Čukarički vs Radnik Surdulica?
The SuperLiga match finished Čukarički 2:2 Radnik Surdulica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Čukarički and Radnik Surdulica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Čukarički won 0, Radnik Surdulica won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Čukarički vs Radnik Surdulica?
Čukarički score 1.40 goals per game on average and Radnik Surdulica 1.23. The SuperLiga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Čukarički's matches and 50% of Radnik Surdulica's.
What form are Čukarički and Radnik Surdulica in?
Over the last 5 games Čukarički have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Radnik Surdulica 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Čukarički vs Radnik Surdulica?
The statistical background for Čukarički vs Radnik Surdulica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.